Dodgers vs Padres Moneyline Bet 9/11/22

by | Sep 11, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres
Date: Saturday September 11th, 04:10 ET
Location: Petco Park
TV: Bally Sports San Diego
Money Line: Dodgers -125 / Padres +105
Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Los Angeles: Andrew Heaney (2-2, 2.94)
San Diego: Joe Musgrove (9-6, 3.16)

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Joey Gallo LF
Chris Taylor 2B
Max Muncy 3B
Mookie Betts RF
Justin Turner 3B
Cody Bellinger CF
Will Smith C
Freddie Freeman 1B
Trea Turner SS
Andrew Heaney P

Padres Projected Lineup

Wil Myers 1B
Trent Grisham CF
Jurickson Profar LF
Juan Soto RF
Jake Cronenworth 2B
Manny Machado 3B
Jorge Alfaro C
Josh Bell 1B
Ha-seong Kim SS
Joe Musgrove P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Los Angeles Dodgers: 94-43-0 SU / OU 60-66-12 / Run Line W/L 85-53-0
San Diego Padres: 77-62-0 SU / OU 66-69-5 / Run Line W/L 61-79-0

The San Diego Padres host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday September 11th at Petco Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-125), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a 4 run win over San Diego by a score of 8-4. For the game, Los Angeles’s pitching staff allowed 4 runs on 9 hits. The Dodgers benefited from an offense that generated 8 runs on 11 hits. Heading into their last game, Los Angeles was the betting favorite at -133.0. Through 134 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 70.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 7.5 runs. Games involving the Dodgers have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 60-66-12.

In the Dodgers’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +7. In their last 5 contests, Los Angeles is averaging 5.8 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 5.40. So far, Los Angeles has won over half of their 44 series played, going 31-10-3.

San Diego will look to move on from a 4 run loss to the Dodgers, falling by the score of 8-4. San Diego’s pitching staff gave up 11 hits, leading to 8 runs for the Dodgers. At the plate, the Padres only came through for 4 runs on 9 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as San Diego came into the game as the underdog, getting 123.0. So far, the team has gone into 38 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 50.0%. The Padres and Dodgers went over the run total line set at 7.5 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 66-69-5.

Across their last 5 contests, the Padres are above .500, going 3-2. They have managed to pick up these wins despite having a negative run differential over their last 5 games (-4). San Diego is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.2 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.41. On the season, San Diego has won more than half of their series, going 22-15-7.

Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send Andrew Heaney to the mound with an overall record of 2-2. Through 11 appearances, Heaney has an ERA of just 2.94 while averaging 4.73 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.216. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Heaney is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.9 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Andrew Heaney has a strong strikeout percentage of 35.0%, including a per-game average of 7.09. Throughout the season, Heaney has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.25 per contest.

Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres, with an overall record of 9-6. In his previous outings, Musgrove has lasted an average of 6.13 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.16. This season opponents are hitting 0.23 against Musgrove. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Musgrove, as he is allowing just 1.12 per 9 innings. Overall, Joe Musgrove has struck out 24.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 6.08 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Musgrove, as he is giving up 1.93 walks per outing.

Los Angeles vs San Diego History

For the season, the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres will be playing their 16th game of the season. Los Angeles has the lead in the series at 11-4. Through 15 games, the series over-under record is 7-6, with the average run total sitting at 8.21 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.67 runs. Going back to last year, Los Angeles won the season series, 12 games to 7. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 10-8, with the average run total being 8.21 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.84 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers’ last 7 games
  • LA Dodgers is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing San Diego
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego’s last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s NL West matchup, the Dodgers are the slight favorite on the moneyline. Although Andrew Heaney’s overall stats are still strong, his ERA has jumped from 1.94 to 2.94 in just 2 starts. Look for the Padres to pull out the win.

Free MLB Pick: Padres Moneyline