Dodgers vs. Padres Moneyline Pick 8/24/21

by | Aug 24, 2021 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers (78-47) vs. San Diego Padres (68-58)

When: 10:10 p.m., Tuesday, August 24

Where: Petco Park, San Diego

Moneyline: LAD -130/SD +110 ( - 35% Crypto Reloads!)

Runline: Dodgers -1.5/Padres +1.5

Total: 8

Starting Pitchers: Julio Urias (13-3, 3.29 ERA, 1.07 WHIP) vs. Undecided

Wake Up Call

The Padres started Tuesday morning in the last place anyone thought they’d be in late August: on the outside looking in at the playoff race. San Diego expected to be challenging the Dodgers for supremacy in the NL West, and failing that; they’d at least get to host the NL Wild Card Game and then have a chance to take control against the Dodgers in the NLDS and end Los Angeles’ season.
But nobody counted on the Giants coming out of nowhere to post baseball’s best record, leaving the Padres to battle the Dodgers as well as everyone else for the wild card spots. So far, the moment has seemed overwhelming for the young Padres. San Diego didn’t face any pressure to make the playoffs last year because two teams got in from each division, but without that guaranteed second berth, the Padres are playing like a panicking squad. The schedule is no longer the Padres’ friend, as they’ve still got to play a combined 19 games with the Giants and Dodgers. Meanwhile, the Reds are done with the Padres and Giants and get to play nine of their final 36 games against the Pirates, meaning San Diego can’t count on the Reds stumbling; they’ve got to get some wins over the Dodgers here.

The Opponent They Need

Of course, the Dodgers would love to see the Padres’ struggles continue because, for whatever reason, Los Angeles hasn’t been able to solve San Diego in 2021. The Padres have won seven of their past eight matchups with the Dodgers, including a three-game sweep at Petco Park in the teams’ most recent meeting. Most of these games have been close calls, as only two out of seven haven’t been a save situation going to the ninth, but the result continues to be the same.

That actually brings up an alarming trend with the Dodgers: they haven’t been able to figure out either of their California rivalries this year. It hasn’t made much of a difference because the Dodgers have simply beaten up on everyone else to keep pace with the Giants. Still, if Los Angeles could get something going against San Diego, that would be the difference between being the NL West champion and hosting the NL Wild Card Game.

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Just Enough

The Dodgers haven’t been scoring a lot of runs as of late, but they’ve been plating just enough to get the job done. Of their past nine wins, six of them have come by a single run, and because the Dodgers are almost always favored, all six have been losses on the runline. At the same time, the Dodgers’ pitching has been so strong on most nights that what usually happens is a cash for the under, as neither side is able to get the bats going. The Dodgers’ win streak finally snapped in their most recent game against the Mets, but they’ve seen at least two out of three games in their past three series result in a win on the Moneyline but a loss on the runline.

Of course, the Dodgers won’t care much about that, especially when the alternative is being the Padres, who have won just twice in their past ten contests and took three losses in both Denver and Phoenix over that stretch. San Diego on the runline has been one of the worst bets in sports, with the Padres just 1-9 versus the runline in their past 10.

Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 7-1 in their past eight road games.
  • The Dodgers are 19-7 in their past 26 overall.
  • The Padres are 1-5 in their past six overall.
  • The Padres are 6-2 in their past eight Tuesday games.
  • The under is 5-1-1 in the Dodgers’ past seven games.
  • The under is 10-1 in the Dodgers’ past 11 Tuesday games.
  • The under is 5-1 in the Padres’ past six games.
  • The under is 4-0 in the Padres’ past four games following a loss.
  • The Dodgers have dropped four straight in San Diego.
  • The over is 5-1 in the teams’ past six meetings.

Weather Report

It’s going to be another great night for baseball in Southern California, with temperatures at 72 degrees at first pitch and wind blowing at eight miles per hour toward first base.

Dan’s Pick

The Padres have had a lot of success against the Dodgers this year, but they aren’t having much success against anyone at the moment, so there’s not really a lot of benefit to backing them against one of the hottest teams in baseball. I’d need a lot more than a +110 situation to overlook San Diego’s poor performance as of late and the fact that they’ve managed to play themselves out of the playoff picture.
I’m taking the Dodgers here. Note: With football coming, you’re gonna need all the bullets you can get! Kick the season off right by padding your bankroll with a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit up to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus/promo code PREDICT100).