Dodgers vs. Pirates Odds & Picks 5/10/22

by | Last updated May 10, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Tuesday, May 10th, 06:35 ET

Location: PNC Park

TV: ATT SportsNet-PIT

Money Line: Dodgers -225 / Pirates +185

Total Line: 8.5

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Los Angeles: Tony Gonsolin (2-0, 1.64)
Pittsburgh: Bryse Wilson (0-1, 3.79)

Dodgers Projected Lineup

CF Cody Bellinger
LF Chris Taylor
3B Max Muncy
3B Justin Turner
2B Gavin Lux
SS Trea Turner
C Will Smith
RF Mookie Betts
1B Freddie Freeman

Pirates Projected Lineup

2B Josh VanMeter
RF Jack Suwinski
1B Yoshi Tsutsugo
SS Diego Castillo
C Andrew Knapp
3B Ke’Bryan Hayes
1B Daniel Vogelbach
LF Ben Gamel
CF Bryan Reynolds


Los Angeles Dodgers: 19-8-0 SU / OU 9-16-2 / Run Line W/L 19-8-0
Pittsburgh Pirates: 12-16-0 SU / OU 12-13-3 / Run Line W/L 15-13-0

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday, May 10th at PNC Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-225), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Dodgers come into this matchup having suffered a 4 run loss to the Pirates (5-1). Los Angeles’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 15 hits, leading to 5 runs. On offense, the Dodgers finished with 4 hits. Dodgers suffered the loss, despite being favored at -220.0. Through 27 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 70.0%. Together, Dodgers and Pirates stayed below the OU line set at 7.5 runs. So far, Los Angeles has been a good candidate to fall below the betting lines, as their over-under record sits at just 9-16-2.

The Dodgers are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 21. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 5.00 runs per game. But, over this stretch this figure has bumped up to 6.0 So far, Los Angeles has won over half of their 10 series played, going 7-3-0.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are coming off a big win over the Dodgers by a score of 5-1. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on hits 4 hits. Despite being the underdogs, getting 200.0 on the moneyline, the Pirates, still picked up the win. With this result, the Pirates and Dodgers combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. Now, Pittsburgh had an OU mark of 12-13-3.

In their last 5 games, the Pirates have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at 1. The Pirates’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 5.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 3.82. Pittsburgh has a below .500 series record of just 3-5-2.


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Pitching Matchup

For the Dodgers, Tony Gonsolin gets the start. Heading into action, he has a record of 2-0. Currently, Gonsolin has a strong ERA of just 1.64 while pitching an average of 4.4 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.188 against him. Not only does Gonsolin have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.41 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Up to this point, Gonsolin has a strikeout percentage of just 20.0% and a per game average of 3.6. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 3.68 walks per contest.

Pittsburgh will send Bryse Wilson to the mound with a record of 0-1. Leading up to the game, Wilson is hoping to bring down an ERA of 3.79. So far, he is averaging 3.8 innings per outing. Opposing teams have been able to string together hit against Wilson, with a batting average allowed of 0.217. Overall, Wilson is allowing 0.95 homers per 9 innings pitched. Heading into today’s action, Bryse Wilson has yet to find his groove with strikeouts, averaging just 3.2 K’s per outing. Throughout the season, his strong command has led to an average of just 4.26 walks per contest.

Los Angeles vs Pittsburgh History

Today’s matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates will be their second meeting of the season, with Pittsburgh winning the season series 1-0. Going back to last year, Los Angeles won the season series, 6 games to 0. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 1-4. Last year, the Dodgers and Pirates averaged 6.5 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.83 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get our Milwaukee at Cincinnati O/U Pick >>>

Betting Trends

LA Dodgers is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Pittsburgh
LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Pittsburgh Pirates are coming off a surprising upset win over the NL West leading Dodgers. However, with Tony Gonsolin on the mound, and his ERA of just 1.64, look for Pittsburgh to struggle on offense. I am counting on a bounceback game for the Dodgers and am taking them to cover at -1.5 runs.

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