Giants vs. Cubs Total Play 9/9/22

by | Sep 9, 2022 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs
Date: Friday September 9th, 04:05 ET
Location: Wrigley Field
TV: NBCS BA
Money Line: Giants -170 / Cubs +141
Total Line: 8

STARTING PITCHING

San Francisco: Carlos Rodón (12-7, 2.92)
Chicago: Drew Smyly (5-8, 3.84)

Giants Projected Lineup

Joey Bart C
David Villar 1B
Thairo Estrada SS
Luis Gonzalez P
Brandon Crawford SS
J.D. Davis 3B
Evan Longoria 3B
Lewis Brinson CF
Wilmer Flores 2B
Carlos Rodón P

Cubs Projected Lineup

Yan Gomes C
P.J. Higgins 1B
Nico Hoerner SS
Seiya Suzuki RF
Nelson Velazquez CF
Christopher Morel 3B
Ian Happ LF
Franmil Reyes RF
Nick Madrigal 2B
Drew Smyly P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

San Francisco Giants: 65-72-0 SU / OU 67-62-8 / Run Line W/L 62-75-0
Chicago Cubs: 57-80-0 SU / OU 59-66-12 / Run Line W/L 69-68-0

The Chicago Cubs host the San Francisco Giants on Friday September 9th at Wrigley Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Francisco as the favorite (-170), with an OU line set at OFF.

Recent Form

In San Francisco’s last game, they fell to Milwaukee by a score of 4-2. On their way to giving up 4 runs, the Giants staff allowed 6 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 2 runs on 4 hits. San Francisco’s loss came as the underdog, getting 165.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. However, for the season, San Francisco still has an overall over-under record of 67-62-8.

After their 5 most recent games, the Giants have gone just 1-4. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -7. A key reason for San Francisco’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 3.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.43. San Francisco’s overall series record is just 18-20-7.

The Cubs are coming off a tight loss to the Reds, dropping the game 4-3. Despite the losing effort, the team’s pitchers held the Reds to 4 runs and 9 hits. With their 7 hits, the Cubs could only plate 3 runners. Chicago came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-133.0). So far, the team has won 46.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Cubs and Reds’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. Now, Chicago had an over-under record of 59-66-12.

The Cubs come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -7 over their last 5 games. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 3.4, similar to their season long average of 4.09. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 17-22-5.

Pitching Matchup

San Francisco will roll with Carlos Rodón (12-7) as their starter. In his previous outings, Rodón has lasted an average of 5.82 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.92. So far, batters are hitting just 0.208 against him. Home runs have not been an issue for Rodón, as he is giving up just 0.57 HR/9. In terms of strikeouts, Carlos Rodón has a strong strikeout percentage of 32.0%, including a per game average of 7.44. Command has been a problem for Rodón, as he is giving up 2.69 walks per outing.

Drew Smyly gets the start for the Cubs, with an overall record of 5-8. So far, Smyly has put together an ERA of 3.84. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.79 innings. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.256. Home runs have been an issue for Smyly, as he is allowing an average of 1.48 per 9 innings pitched. Per game, Drew Smyly is averaging 4.0, on a strikeout percentage of 20.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.27 walks per outing.

San Francisco vs Chicago History

Today’s matchup between the San Francisco Giants and Chicago Cubs will be their 5th meeting of the season. San Francisco has the lead in the series at 3-1. Through 4 games, the series over-under record is 1-3, with the average run total sitting at 10.43 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.25 runs. Last season, San Francisco picked up the series win, 6 games to 1. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-3. Last year, the Giants and Cubs averaged 10.43 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.86 runs per game.

More Picks: St. Louis at Pittsburgh analysis & recommended bet for 9/9/22

Betting Trends

  • Giants are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
  • Giants are 45-22 in their last 67 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Cubs are 19-39 in their last 58 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Cubs are 22-45 in their last 67 games vs. a left-handed starter.

San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs Prediction

Heading into Friday’s National League matchup between San Francisco and Chicago, look for this game to fall below the line of 8 runs. I don’t expect the Cubs to fare well vs Rodon as the last time they faced the Giants starter, they didn’t score a run vs him across 7 innings.

Free MLB Pick: Under 8 Runs

MLB Betting Guide

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