Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves Pick & Analysis 4/23/23

by | Apr 23, 2023 | mlb

Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Sunday, April 23rd, 1:30 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Astros +120/Braves -140
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Astros on Sunday, April 23rd at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+120 +1.5 O 8 (-106)
-140 -1.5 U 8 (-115)

Astros vs. Braves Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Mauricio Dubón 1 CF
Alex Bregman 2 3B
Yordan Alvarez 3 LF
José Abreu 4 1B
Kyle Tucker 5 RF
Jeremy Peña 6 SS
David Hensley 7 2B
Jake Meyers 8 CF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Cristian Javier RP


Batting Order Position
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 RF
Matt Olson 2 1B
Austin Riley 3 3B
Sean Murphy 4 C
Eddie Rosario 5 LF
Ozzie Albies 6 2B
Vaughn Grissom 7 2B
Sam Hilliard 8 CF
Kevin Pillar 9 CF
Max Fried SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 11-10 SU / OU 14-6 / Runline 12-9
Atlanta Braves: 14-7 SU / OU 12-8 / Runline 10-11

On a record of 11-10, the Astros are 2nd in the AL West. Currently, they are 2.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Braves, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 5-3 while going 6-7 at home. Houston’s overall series record is 2-3.

  • The Astros have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 1.1.
  • The Astros have been favored in 71.4% of their games and have runline records of 6-7 and 6-2 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 70% of the Astros’ 21 games at 14-6.

Against the Astros, the Braves are looking to shake a three two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 14-7 is stil good for 1st in the NL East. At home, Atlanta has gone 4-5 and 10-2 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 5-1.

  • The Braves have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.3.
  • The Braves have been favored in 85.7% of their games and have runline records of 1-8 and 9-3 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 60% of the Braves’ 21 games at 12-8.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Cristian Javier 4 4 22 2-0 3.68 1.14 3


Starter Cristian Javier comes in with an overall record of 2-0 for the Astros. Having made four appearances, his ERA is 3.68 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.9. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.06 and an OBP of .286.

The last time, Cristian Javier took the mound, he gave up one run on three hits to the Blue Jays. Javier picked up the win, in the Astros’ 9-2 victory.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Max Fried 2 2 8 1-0 1.08 .96 0


With an overall record of 1-0, the Braves will give Max Fried the start. His ERA stands at 1.08 with a K/9 figure of 0.7 after making two appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 1.90 and an OBP of .250.

The last time, Max Fried took the mound, he gave up zero runs on four hits to the Padres. Fried picked up the win, in the Braves’ 2-0 victory.

Astros vs. Braves Offense Outlook

After 21 games, the Astros are ranked 7th in the league with an average of 5.1 runs per game. Houston ranks 19th in home runs (22) while their overall batting average is .254. On the road, they have a BA of .269 and .241 at home.

Houston Astros Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Yordan Alvarez .257 .376 .557 25 6 0
Kyle Tucker .288 .404 .534 17 5 4
Jeremy Peña .226 .293 .405 12 3 6


Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Yordan Alvarez .157 3 4 2 .427
Jake Meyers .367 7 3 1 .583
Jeremy Peña .217 4 4 1 .417
Corey Julks .333 6 3 1 .533
Mauricio Dubón .317 7 6 0 .357


Offensively, the Braves, come into the game ranked 11th in the league with an average of 5.0 runs per game. In the home run category, Atlanta is ranked 4th, with 29 deep shots. When it comes to batting average, they have collectively hit .259. This mark includes hitting .257 on the road and .251 at home.

Atlanta Braves Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Braves 21 5.0 (11th) 29 (4th) .259 (7th) .338 (7th) .338 (7th)


Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ozzie Albies .217 4 3 2 .583
Ronald Acuña Jr. .367 8 3 0 .487
Sean Murphy .150 3 5 2 .450
Matt Olson .100 2 3 1 .250
Austin Riley .150 3 2 1 .350


Free MLB Pick

Poth starters are in good form and have good back numbers against their opponent. Take the Under 8.

MLB Betting Guide

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