Jays vs. White Sox Predictions 6/22/22

by | Jun 22, 2022 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Wednesday, June 22nd, 02:10 ET

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field

TV: SNET

Money Line: Blue Jays -120 / White Sox +100 (Bovada)

Total Line: 9.5

STARTING PITCHING

Toronto: Ross Stripling (3-2, 3.28)
Chicago: Lucas Giolito (4-3, 4.78)

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Gabriel Moreno C
Teoscar Hernández RF
Santiago Espinal 2B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Alejandro Kirk C
George Springer CF
Bo Bichette SS
Ross Stripling P

White Sox Projected Lineup

Adam Engel RF
Seby Zavala C
AJ Pollock LF
Jake Burger 3B
Leury García CF
Luis Robert CF
José Abreu 1B
Tim Anderson SS
Andrew Vaughn RF
Lucas Giolito P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Toronto Blue Jays: 38-30-0 SU / OU 35-32-1 / Run Line W/L 29-39-0
Chicago White Sox: 33-33-0 SU / OU 33-30-3 / Run Line W/L 32-34-0

The Chicago White Sox host the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday, June 22nd at Guaranteed Rate Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 9.5.

Recent Form

In their last game, the Blue Jays suffered a 1 run loss to the White Sox by a score of 7-6. On their way to giving up 7 runs, the Blue Jays staff allowed 15 hits. On offense, the Blue Jays’ 8 hits and 6 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. This defeat came despite being favored at -125.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 52 of their games, winning at a rate of 57.9%. Together, the Blue Jays and White Sox combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 9.0 runs. So far, Toronto has an above .500 over-under record of 35-32-1.

Over the Blue Jays’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 1-4. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -14. Compared to their overall average of 4.62 runs per game, the team’s offense is playing well. Over their last 5 contests, they have bumped this figure up to 5.2. So far, Toronto has won over half of their 22 series played, going 12-7-3.

In their last game, the White Sox picked up a close win over the Blue Jays by a score of 7-6. On their way to giving up 6 runs, the White Sox staff allowed 8 hits. At the plate, the White Sox scored 7 times on 15 hits. Despite being the underdogs, getting 115.0 on the moneyline, the White Sox still picked up the win. So far, the team has gone into 27 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 37.0%. In terms of the over-under, the White Sox and Blue Jays combined to surpass the line of 9.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 33-30-3.

In their last 5 games, the White Sox have put together a record of 3-2. They have managed to pick up these wins despite having a negative run differential of their last 5 games (-2). Compared to their season average, the White Sox come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 5.6 runs per game. On the season, Chicago has won more than half of their series, going 10-9-3.

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Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will send Ross Stripling to the mound with an overall record of 3-2. In his previous outings, Stripling has lasted an average of 2.89 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.28. So far, batters are hitting just 0.218 against him. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.58 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Up to this point, Stripling has a strikeout percentage of just 20.0% and a per game average of 2.38. Throughout the season, Stripling has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.93 per contest.

The Chicago White Sox will send Lucas Giolito to the mound with an overall record of 4-3. Giolito gets the start with an ERA of 4.78. On average, he has lasted 5.28 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.277. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Giolito, averaging 2.01 homers per 9 innings pitched. Per game, Lucas Giolito is averaging 6.64, on a strikeout percentage of 28.99%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.86 walks per outing.

Toronto vs Chicago History

For the season, the Toronto Blue Jays and Chicago White Sox will be playing their 6th game of the season. Toronto has the lead in the series at 3-2. Through 5 games, the series’ over-under record is 5-0, with the average run total sitting at 7.57 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.4 runs. Dating back to last season, the Chicago picked up 4 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 1-5. Last year, the Blue Jays and White Sox averaged 7.57 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.0 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto’s last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto’s last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox’s last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox’s last 5 games when playing Toronto

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s American League matchup between Toronto and Chicago, the Blue Jays have a slight edge on the moneyline. Even though the White Sox have shown signs of improvements at the plate, I expect them to struggle vs Toronto’s Ross Stripling. Look for the Blue Jays to pick up the win.

Free MLB Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline

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