LA Angels vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Predictions & Analysis 4/16/23

Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Sunday, April 16th, 1:35 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN
Money Line: Angels -105/Red Sox -114
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Angels on Sunday, April 16th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Angels vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Taylor Ward	1	RF
Mike Trout	2	CF
Shohei Ohtani	3	DH
Anthony Rendon	4	3B
Hunter Renfroe	5	RF
Jake Lamb	6	3B
Brandon Drury	7	3B
Zach Neto	8	SS
Logan O’Hoppe	9	C
Reid Detmers	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Alex Verdugo	1	LF
Justin Turner	2	3B
Rafael Devers	3	3B
Masataka Yoshida	4	LF
Rob Refsnyder	5	RF
Enrique Hernández	6	CF
Christian Arroyo	7	2B
Triston Casas	8	1B
Connor Wong	9	C
Garrett Whitlock	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Angels: 7-7 SU / OU 7-7 / Runline 5-9
Boston Red Sox: 7-8 SU / OU 10-5 / Runline 7-8

Heading into their game vs. the Red Sox, the Angels have a record of 7-7 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 3-1. At home, they have gone 3-3 and 4-4 on the road.

• The Angels have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.9.
• The Angels have been favored in 85.7% of their games and have runline records of 2-4 and 3-5 at home and on the road, respectively
• Through 14 games, the over has hit in half of the Angels’ games at 7-7.

As they take on the Angels, the Red Sox have an overall record of 7-8 and are currently last in the AL East. However, they have rattled of two straight wins. At home, Boston has a mark of 4-4 compared to 3-4 on the road. Their series record sits at 2-2.

• The Red Sox have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.1.
• The Red Sox have been favored in 60.0% of their games and have runline records of 3-5 and 4-3 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 67% of the Red Sox’s 15 games at 10-5.

Pitching Matchup




Reid Detmers enters the game with two appearances under his belt and a record of 0-0. His current ERA is 5.59 and he’s allowed a batting average of .231. In addition, he has allowed one home run and currently has an OPS of .718.

In Reid Detmers’ last game, he threw five innings for the Angels. While allowing five runs on five hits, he took a no-decision. The team lost the game to the Blue Jays with a score of 12-11.

Having allowed five runs on eight hits in five innings against the Rays, Garrett Whitlock is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Red Sox.

Angels vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

This season, Los Angeles is ranked 9th in the league in runs scored at 5.4 runs per contest. So far, they are near the middle of the pack in home runs, hitting a combined 18 long balls. The team’s current batting average of .246 is 17th in the league. On the road, they are 11th in batting average compared to 19th at home.

Los Angeles Angels Top Hitters vs. Righties




Los Angeles Angels Top Hitters: Last Five Games




The Red Sox have hit an impressive 20 home runs so far this season, placing them among the top home run hitting teams in baseball (8th). These power numbers have led to an average of 5.7 runs per game and a collective batting average of .238. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .376 compared to .439 at home.

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters vs. Lefties




Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Boston Red Sox and the Los Angeles Angels. Boston has demonstrated a strong offensive prowess, scoring at least four runs in six of their last nine games. They’ll be facing Reid Detmers, who has shown mixed performances against Boston in the past. Although Detmers pitched an impressive 4 1/3 innings of shutout ball during a home game, he struggled at Fenway Park, allowing three runs over 4 2/3 innings.

Meanwhile, the Angels have been consistently delivering offensively, averaging 5.49 runs per game (ranking 5th), not far behind the Red Sox’s 5.84 (ranking 2nd). Garrett Whitlock will be on the mound for the Red Sox, but his recent performance hasn’t been convincing, with five runs allowed in just five innings during his single start in 2023. Additionally, his historical record against the Angels is less than ideal, as he has given up seven runs in 24 at-bats with an OPS of .792.

Taking all these factors into consideration, I recommend betting on the Over 9.5 for this match-up, as both teams have been hitting well and the pitchers’ recent performances suggest a potentially high-scoring game.