Lay the Big Number: Dodgers vs. Brewers

by | Aug 15, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday August 15th, 08:10 ET

Location: American Family Field

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Money Line: Dodgers -165 / Brewers +139 (Everygame - Sign up through our special link, deposit $25 and then enter bonus code ROOKIE200 on their special offers page and they’ll give you a free $50 bet!)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Los Angeles: Julio Urías (12-6, 2.49)
Milwaukee: Freddy Peralta (4-2, 4.37)

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Gavin Lux SS
Joey Gallo LF
Max Muncy 1B
Mookie Betts RF
Justin Turner 3B
Cody Bellinger CF
Will Smith C
Freddie Freeman 1B
Trea Turner SS
Julio Urías P

Brewers Projected Lineup

Luis Urías 3B
Mike Brosseau 3B
Tyrone Taylor CF
Hunter Renfroe RF
Rowdy Tellez 1B
Victor Caratini C
Andrew McCutchen RF
Christian Yelich LF
Willy Adames SS
Freddy Peralta P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Los Angeles Dodgers: 79-34-0 SU / OU 46-57-10 / Run Line W/L 71-42-0
Milwaukee Brewers: 61-52-0 SU / OU 56-50-7 / Run Line W/L 46-67-0

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday August 15th at American Family Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-165), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Dodgers are hoping to get back on track after falling to the Royals, by a score of 4-0. In the loss, Los Angeles’s pitchers gave up 4 runs on 8 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 0 runs on 2 hits. This defeat came despite being favored at -230.0. Through 111 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 70.0%. Combined, the Dodgers and Royals fell short of the over-under betting line of 9.0 runs. This outcome pushed Los Angeles’s over-under record further below .500 at 46-57-10.

The Dodgers come into this game with a 4-1 record over their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +21. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 7.8 runs per game, compared to their season average of 5.40. So far, Los Angeles has won over half of their 36 series played, going 26-9-1.

Milwaukee will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Cardinals by the score of 6-3. On their way to giving up 6 runs, the Brewers staff allowed 7 hits. With their 6 hits, the Brewers could only plate 3 runners. Leading into Milwaukee’s loss they were the underdogs, getting 130.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 19 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 37.0%. The Brewers and Cardinals went over the run total line set at 8.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 56-50-7.

Across their last 5 contests, the Brewers are above .500, going 3-2. They have managed to pick up these wins despite having a negative run differential over their last 5 games (-1). Milwaukee has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 3.2 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.57. On the season, Milwaukee has won more than half of their series, going 17-14-6.

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Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send Julio Urías to the mound with an overall record of 12-6. In his previous outings, Urías has lasted an average of 5.55 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.49. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.21. Urías is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.1 per 9 innings. On the season, Julio Urías has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. This includes a per game average of 5.32 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.76 walks per outing.

Freddy Peralta gets the start for the Brewers, with an overall record of 4-2. To date, Peralta has an ERA of 4.37 while lasting an average of 4.71 innings per appearance. Peralta will take the mound a BA allowed of 0.219. Not only does Peralta have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.38 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Peralta’s current strikeout average is 5.7 per game. This includes a K rate of 28.9%. Peralta has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 2.85 per contest.

Los Angeles vs Milwaukee History

Today’s matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers will be their first meeting of the season. Last season, Los Angeles won 4 games compared to 3 for Milwaukee. The average scoring margin in these games was 4.29, with an over-under record of 5-2. Between the games, the average run total was 10.86 runs per game.

More Picks:Get our Seattle at LA Angels Betting Prediction 8/15/22

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers’ last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
  • LA Dodgers is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
  • Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Heading into Monday’s National League matchup between Los Angeles and Milwaukee, the Dodgers are the favorite on the road. Look for Los Angeles to pick up a win in game 1 of the series. Milwaukee consistently has problems at the plate against elite pitching. I recommend taking the Dodgers on the moneyline.

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