Marlins vs. Cubs Recommended Moneyline Bet

by | Aug 6, 2022 | mlb

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday August 6th, 02:20 ET

Location: Wrigley Field

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Money Line: Marlins -110 / Cubs -110 (Bovada - 50% real cash bonus! Best live wagering platform in the sports betting industry! Rebates on ALL your bets! FAST Bitcoin payouts! What more could you ask for?)

Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Miami: Pablo López (7-6, 3.49)
Chicago: Drew Smyly (3-6, 4.42)

Marlins Projected Lineup

Nick Fortes C
Peyton Burdick OF
Joey Wendle 3B
Bryan De La Cruz RF
Charles LeBlanc 3B
Billy Hamilton CF
Jesús Aguilar 1B
Miguel Rojas SS
Garrett Cooper 1B
Pablo López P

Cubs Projected Lineup

Frank Schwindel 1B
Zach McKinstry SS
Nico Hoerner SS
Seiya Suzuki RF
Patrick Wisdom 3B
Christopher Morel CF
Willson Contreras C
Ian Happ LF
Rafael Ortega CF
Drew Smyly P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Miami Marlins: 48-58-0 SU / OU 49-52-5 / Run Line W/L 48-58-0
Chicago Cubs: 42-63-0 SU / OU 46-53-6 / Run Line W/L 53-52-0

The Chicago Cubs host the Miami Marlins on Saturday, August 6th at Wrigley Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Chicago as the favorite (-110), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Marlins will look to rebound from a close, 2-1 loss to the Cubs. Despite the loss, Miami’s pitching staff gave up only 2 runs on 4 hits. The Marlins ended the game with just 1 run on 7 hits. Miami’s loss came as the underdog, getting 125.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Marlins and Cubs stayed below the over-under line set at 7.5 runs. So far, Miami has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 49-52-5.

The Marlins will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 1-4 over their last 5 games. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -7. On offense, Miami’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 1.8 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Miami’s overall series record is just 10-20-5.

The Cubs will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Marlins by a score of 2-1. For the game, the pitching staff held the Marlins to 1 run on 7 hits. The Cub’s offense ended the game with just 2 runs on 4 hits. Chicago picked up the win while being favored at -145.0. So far, the team has won 45.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Cubs and Marlins combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. Now, Chicago had an over-under record of 46-53-6.

The Cubs come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -15 over their last 5 games. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 1.4 runs over their last 5 game. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 12-17-5.

Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send Pablo López to the mound with an overall record of 7-6. To date, López has an ERA of 3.49 while lasting an average of 5.63 innings per appearance. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.223 against López. López is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 0.99 per 9 innings. Per game, Pablo López is averaging 5.67, on a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. Command has been a problem for López, as he is giving up 2.65 walks per outing.

In today’s game, Chicago turns to starter Drew Smyly. For the year, he has a record of 3-6. So far, Smyly has put together an ERA of 4.42. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.54 innings. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.272. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Smyly, averaging 1.68 homers per 9 innings pitched. Smyly’s current strikeout average is 3.69 per game. This includes a K rate of 19.0%. Throughout the season, Smyly has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.14 per contest.

Miami vs Chicago History

For the season, the Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs will be playing their 2nd game of the season. Currently, Chicago is winning the season series 1-0. Through 1 game, the series’ over-under record is 0-1, with the average run total sitting at 10.67 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 1.0 runs. Going back to last year, Miami won the season series, 5 games to 1. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 4-2, with the average run total being 10.67 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.67 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
  • Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games at home

Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s National League matchup between Miami and Chicago, the oddsmakers suggest that this game could go either way. Even though Marlins starter Pablo Lopez has been up and down of late, look for him to put together a quality outing vs a Cubs lineup that hasn’t scored more than 3 runs since last Saturday. I recommend taking Miami on the moneyline.

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