Marlins vs. Phillies Moneyline Wager

by | Jun 13, 2022 | mlb

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday June 13th, 07:05 ET

Location: Citizens Bank Park

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Money Line: Marlins +130 / Phillies -155 (MyBookie - Get a 100% real cash bonus when you use bonus code PREDICT100)

Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Miami: Sandy Alcantara (6-2, 1.61)
Philadelphia: Aaron Nola (4-4, 3.5)

Marlins Projected Lineup

Willians Astudillo 2B
Miguel Rojas SS
Jesus Sanchez RF
Avisaíl García RF
Jon Berti 3B
Jacob Stallings C
Jorge Soler LF
Jesús Aguilar 1B
Jasrado Chisholm Jr. 2B
Sandy Alcantara P

Phillies Projected Lineup

Alec Bohm 3B
Bryson Stott SS
J.T. Realmuto C
Nick Castellanos RF
Didi Gregorius SS
Mickey Moniak CF
Bryce Harper RF
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Aaron Nola P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Miami Marlins: 27-31-0 SU / OU 30-27-1 / Run Line W/L 31-27-0
Philadelphia Phillies: 30-30-0 SU / OU 35-23-2 / Run Line W/L 31-29-0

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Miami Marlins on Monday, June 13th at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Philadelphia as the favorite (-155), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Marlins come into this matchup having suffered a 5 run loss to the Astros (9-4). On their way to giving up 9 runs, the Marlins staff allowed 14 hits. With their 3 hits, the Marlins could only muster 4 runs. Miami’s loss came as the underdog, getting 210.0 on the moneyline. n Together, the Marlins, and Astros combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.5 runs. So far, Miami has an above .500 over-under record of 30-27-1.

The Marlins are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +6. Overall, Miami is averaging 4.52 runs per game. Over their last 5 contests, they have been producing at a similar rate, at 4.52. Miami’s overall series record is just 7-11-1.

Philadelphia will look to move on from a 12-run loss to the Diamondbacks, falling by the score of 13-1. On their way to giving up 13 runs, the Phillies staff allowed 12 hits. With their 7 hits, the Phillies could only plate 1 runner. Leading into the game, Philadelphia was the betting favorite at -180.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 39 games, winning at a rate of 54.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Phillies and Diamondbacks combined to surpass the line of 9.5 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 35-23-2.

Across their last 5 contests, the Phillies are above .500, going 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +9 (last 5). Compared to their season average, the Phillies come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 6.0 runs per game. Philadelphia has a below .500 series record of just 7-11-1.

Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send Sandy Alcantara to the mound with an overall record of 6-2. Through 12 appearances, Alcantara has an ERA of just 1.61 while averaging 6.93 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.19 against him. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.43 home runs allowed per 9 innings. On the season, Sandy Alcantara has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 24.0% while averaging 6.42 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.58 walks per outing.

Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies, with an overall record of 4-4. To date, Nola has an ERA of 3.5 while lasting an average of 6.18 innings per appearance. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.205 against Nola. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Nola is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.21 homers per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Aaron Nola has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 28.99%, while averaging 7.08 K’s per game. Throughout the season, Nola has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.21 per contest.

Miami vs Philadelphia History

For the season, the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies will be playing their 5th game of the season. So far, Miami is leading the season series, 3-1. Through 4 games, the series’ over-under record is 3-1, with the average run total sitting at 7.74 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 5.5 runs. Last season, Miami picked up the series win, 10 games to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 7-11. Last year, the Marlins and Phillies averaged 7.74 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.11 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
  • Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
  • Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Heading into Monday’s NL East matchup between Miami and Philadelphia, look for the Marlins to pull off the upset. Even though the Phillies are coming off an outstanding stretch of baseball, I expect them to struggle vs Sandy Alcantara and his WHIP of just .98.

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