Mets vs. Marlins Moneyline Bet

by | Jun 24, 2022 | mlb

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, June 24th, 06:40 ET

Location: LoanDepot park

TV: WPIX

Money Line: Mets +106 / Marlins -126 (Get better lines at BetNow)

Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Taijuan Walker (5-2, 2.88)
Miami: Sandy Alcantara (7-2, 1.72)

Mets Projected Lineup

Mark Canha LF
Luis Guillorme 2B
Jeff McNeil 2B
Starling Marte RF
Eduardo Escobar 3B
Tomás Nido C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Taijuan Walker P

Marlins Projected Lineup

Jesus Sanchez CF
Miguel Rojas SS
Jesús Aguilar 1B
Avisaíl García RF
Jon Berti 3B
Jacob Stallings C
Jorge Soler LF
Garrett Cooper 1B
Jasrado Chisholm Jr. 2B
Sandy Alcantara P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Mets: 45-26-0 SU / OU 37-29-5 / Run Line W/L 40-31-0
Miami Marlins: 32-36-0 SU / OU 35-32-1 / Run Line W/L 36-32-0

The Miami Marlins host the New York Mets on Friday, June 24th at LoanDepot park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Miami as the favorite (-126), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

In New York’s last game, they fell to the Astros by a score of 5-3. New York’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 7 hits, leading to 5 runs. The Mets ended the game with just 3 runs on 8 hits. The loss came as New York was the betting underdog, getting 124.0 on the moneyline. When looking at the over-under result, the Mets and Astros matched the line set at 8.0 runs. New York games have still gone over the posted over-under line more than half of the time, at 37-29-5.

Over the Mets’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -5. New York’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 3.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests. So far, New York has won over half of their 22 series played, going 16-4-2.

The Marlins will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Rockies by a score of 3-2. For the game, the pitching staff held the Rockies to 2 runs on 12 hits. The Marlins’ offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 9 hits. In the game, Miami was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -143.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 35 games, winning at a rate of 60.0%. With this result, the Marlins and Rockies combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. Miami still has an above .500 over-under record at (35-32-1).

Across their last 5 contests, the Marlins are above .500, going 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +3 (last 5). Miami has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 5.0 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.51. Miami has a below .500 series record of just 8-13-1.

Pitching Matchup

New York will roll with Taijuan Walker (5-2) as their starter. In his previous outings, Walker has lasted an average of 5.37 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.88. Across his previous appearances, the right-hander has a batting average allowed of 0.233. This season, Walker has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.46 per 9 innings. Walker has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 18.0% and a per-game average of 4.0. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.58 walks per contest.

Sandy Alcantara gets the start for the Marlins, with an overall record of 7-2. Currently, Alcantara has a strong ERA of just 1.72 while pitching an average of 7.08 innings per outing. Overall, opponents have a batting average of just 0.193 against the right-hander. This year Alcantara is allowing just 0.36 home runs per 9 innings pitched. Per game, Sandy Alcantara is averaging 6.43, on a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. Alcantara comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 2.54 free passes per outing.

New York vs Miami History

Today’s matchup between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins will be their 5th meeting of the season. So far, New York is leading the season series, 3-1. Through 4 games, the series’ over-under record is 2-2, with the average run total sitting at 7.05 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.25 runs. Going back to last year, New York won the season series, 10 games to 9. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 9-10, with the average run total being 7.05 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.32 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get our HOU/NYY recommended bet for 6/24/22 >>>

Betting Trends

  • NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets’s last 6 games on the road
  • Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

New York Mets at Miami Marlins Prediction

Heading into Friday’s NL East matchup between Miami and New York, the Marlins are the slight favorite on the moneyline. Despite their inferior overall record, Miami has the edge as Sandy Alcantara is on the mound. In his previous outing, the right-hander limited the Mets to just 2 runs across 8 innings. Look for Alcantara to lead Miami to another win over their division rival.

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