Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves

by | Last updated Apr 25, 2023 | mlb

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Monday, April 24th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: BSSO
Money Line: Marlins +225/Braves -275 (Bet it FREE with a 100% sportsbook bonus!)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Marlins on Monday, April 24th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+225 +1.5 O 8 (-104)
-275 -1.5 U 8 (-117)

Marlins vs. Braves Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1 CF
Garrett Cooper 2 1B
Luis Arraez 3 2B
Jorge Soler 4 RF
Bryan De La Cruz 5 CF
Avisaíl García 6 RF
Jean Segura 7 SS
Nick Fortes 8 C
Jon Berti 9 3B
Edward Cabrera SP

 

Batting Order Position
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 RF
Matt Olson 2 1B
Austin Riley 3 3B
Sean Murphy 4 C
Eddie Rosario 5 LF
Ozzie Albies 6 2B
Vaughn Grissom 7 2B
Sam Hilliard 8 CF
Kevin Pillar 9 CF
Spencer Strider SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Miami Marlins: 12-10 SU / OU 7-13 / Runline 9-13
Atlanta Braves: 14-8 SU / OU 12-9 / Runline 10-12

The Marlins head into today’s game vs. the Braves with an overall record of 12-10. This mark has them sitting 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they are two games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 5-4 and 7-6, respectively. Miami’s overall series record sits at 4-2.

 

  • The Marlins have covered the runline in 40.9% of their games and have an average run margin of -1.0
  • The Marlins have been favored in 40.9% of their games and have runline records of 4-9 and 5-4 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 7-13.

Against the Marlins, the Braves are looking to shake a four two-game losing streak. Yet, their record of 14-8 is stil good for 1st in the NL East. At home, Atlanta has gone 4-6 and 10-2 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 5-1.

 

  • The Braves have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.1.
  • The Braves have been favored in 86.4% of their games and have runline records of 1-9 and 9-3 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 57% of the Braves’ 22 games at 12-9.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Edward Cabrera 4 4 17 1-1 4.08 1.75 1


Starter Edward Cabrera comes in with an overall record of 1-1 for the Marlins. Having made four appearances, his ERA is 4.08 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.77 and an OBP of .378.

A quality start and a win were added to Edward Cabrera’s record in his previous outing against the Giants. The Marlins went on to win by a score of 4-2. Cabrera allowed two runs and six hits during six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Spencer Strider 4 4 22 2-0 2.46 1.04 1


The Braves will turn to starter Spencer Strider who has an overall record of 2-0. Through four appearances his ERA stands at 2.46 with a K/9 figure of 1.6. So far, he has put together of FIP of 2.31 to go along with an OBP of .273.

Spencer Strider earned a win and a quality start in his previous game, leading his team to a 8-1 win over the Padres. He allowed zero runs and one hit across six innings.

Marlins vs. Braves Offense Outlook

At 3.3 runs per game, Miami is ranked 29th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 21 times so far. The team’s batting average of .250 places them 12th in the league. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 9th compared to 11th at home.

Miami Marlins Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Luis Arraez .533 1 .833 .604
Bryan De La Cruz .345 2 .690 .470
Garrett Cooper .333 2 .593 .414
Jazz Chisholm Jr. .211 1 .342 .249
Jon Berti .233 2 .467 .345


Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jorge Soler .514 8 4 1 1.111
Bryan De La Cruz .328 8 4 1 .650
Jazz Chisholm Jr. .208 5 2 1 .375
Luis Arraez .390 8 1 0 .440
Jon Berti .158 3 3 1 .400


With a total of 30 home runs hit so far this season, the Braves are among the top home run hitting teams in baseball (4th). This has translated to an average of 4.8 runs per game and a collective batting average of .253. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .456 compared to .380 at home.

Atlanta Braves Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Braves 22 4.8 (12th) 30 (4th) .253 (10th) .333 (7th) .333 (7th)


Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ronald Acuña Jr. .313 6 3 0 .460
Ozzie Albies .217 4 3 2 .583
Sean Murphy .188 3 5 2 .562
Matt Olson .100 2 3 1 .250
Kevin Pillar .183 3 1 1 .433


Free MLB Pick

Though the sample size is limited, Edward Cabrera has had success against the Braves’ lineup in the past, limiting them to a .160 batting average and .222 OBP across 25 at-bats. Cabrera had a rough beginning to the season, giving up six runs in just 6 2/3 innings and walking an alarming 13 batters. However, he has demonstrated a significant improvement in control during his last two appearances, walking only three batters and striking out 12 over 11 innings, allowing just two runs in each game.

The Braves will start Spencer Strider, who has conceded a total of six runs in his four starts this season, including two shutout performances. Strider boasts an impressive 2.45 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

Both teams have struggled offensively in recent matches. Atlanta has only managed to score a cumulative five runs in their last three games, while Miami has consistently played to the “Under” in nine consecutive matches before their most recent game. This trend can be attributed to a mix of strong pitching and lackluster hitting (with Miami scoring more than four runs in just one of their last eight games). Given this context, I recommend taking the Under 8. Question: Do you live bet games? If so, we highly recommend checking out Bovada Sportsbook’s live betting platform! It blows away the rest! All sports on one page, FAST processing of bets, nice fat limits. They’re not cheesy like most other books! You get a 50% bonus too! It’s where we bet!

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