Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline Bet

by | Last updated Sep 30, 2023 | mlb

Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Date: Saturday, September 30th, 6:35 ET
Location: PNC Park
TV: SNPT
Money Line: Marlins -155/Pirates +130
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Marlins on Saturday, September 30th at PNC Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIA -155 -1.5 O 9 (-103)
PIT +130 +1.5 U 9 (-119)

Marlins vs. Pirates Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Luis Arraez 1 2B
Jorge Soler 2 DH
Josh Bell 3 1B
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 4 CF
Jake Burger 5 3B
Bryan De La Cruz 6 LF
Jesús Sánchez 7 RF
Garrett Hampson 8 SS
Jacob Stallings 9 C
JT Chargois SP


Batting Order Position
Ji Hwan Bae 1 2B
Bryan Reynolds 2 LF
Ke’Bryan Hayes 3 3B
Jack Suwinski 4 CF
Joshua Palacios 5 RF
Endy Rodriguez 6 C
Henry Davis 7 DH
Alfonso Rivas 8 1B
Liover Peguero 9 SS
Quinn Priester SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Miami Marlins: 83-76 SU / OU 74-81 / Runline 73-86
Pittsburgh Pirates: 75-85 SU / OU 85-69 / Runline 83-77

On a record of 83-76, the Marlins are 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they are 19.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Pirates, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 37-41 while going 46-35 at home. Miami’s overall series record is 25-24-3.

  • The Marlins have covered the runline in 45.9% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.4
  • The Marlins have been favored in 45.9% of their games and have runline records of 35-46 and 38-40 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 74-81.

So far this season, the Pirates have an overall record of 75-85, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they are 16 games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 37-44 and 38-41 at home. The team’s series record is 19-27-5.

  • The Pirates have covered the runline in four straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.6.
  • The Pirates have been favored in 20.0% of their games and have runline records of 38-41 and 45-36 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 55% of the Pirates’ 160 games at 85-69.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
JT Chargois 45 4 41 1-0 3.67 1.25 3


Miami starter JT Chargois enters with an overall record of 1-0 and ERA of 3.67. His ERA on the road is 5.57 and 2.44 when pitching at home. Chargois’ season-long WHIP comes in at 1.25 with a batting average allowed of .224. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .368 against him.

JT Chargois is coming off a short outing, throwing one inning while giving up zero runs on one hit. Chargois took a no-decision in the Marlins’ 4-3 win over the Pirates.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Quinn Priester 9 7 44 3-2 7.86 1.66 11


Heading into today’s game, Pittsburgh starter Quinn Priester has pitched at least six innings in two straight games. For the season, he has an ERA of 7.86 and record of 3-2. His total strikeout figure stands at 33 with a slugging percentage allowed of .536. Currently, Priester has a WHIP of 1.66 and WOBA allowed of .374.

Quinn Priester earned a quality start in his most recent outing, pitching six innings and giving up two runs. Despite his solid performance, the Pirates were unable to beat the Reds and lost by a score of 4-2.

Marlins vs. Pirates Offense Outlook

Miami’s home run count comes in at just 23rd in the league with 165 home runs. Their batting average currently sits at .259, ranking 3rd in the league. When it comes to OPS, the club is 15th in the league at .724.

Miami Marlins Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Luis Arraez .361 8 .484 .380
Bryan De La Cruz .256 16 .430 .315
Jorge Soler .241 22 .463 .335
Josh Bell .239 14 .388 .306
Jake Burger .247 23 .500 .341


Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jon Berti .438 6 2 1 .875
Jazz Chisholm Jr. .229 3 2 0 .375
Bryan De La Cruz .412 6 1 0 .412
Josh Bell .188 2 0 0 .250
Garrett Hampson .125 2 1 0 .125


Pittsburgh’s home run count comes in at just 26th in the league with 159 home runs. Their batting average currently sits at .239, ranking 12th in the league. When it comes to OPS, the club is 18th in the league at .707.

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bryan Reynolds .255 19 .489 .352
Ke’Bryan Hayes .267 8 .426 .318
Jack Suwinski .233 24 .506 .366
Andrew McCutchen .254 8 .391 .342
Connor Joe .225 6 .385 .303


Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jared Triolo .329 5 3 0 .492
Connor Joe .489 6 2 0 .667
Henry Davis .250 3 1 1 .500
Bryan Reynolds .163 3 3 1 .350
Jack Suwinski .312 5 0 0 .438


Free MLB Pick

Even though the Marlins have a chance to solidify their spot as the final Wild Card in the NL with a win over the Pirates. I see Pittsburgh stealing a win today. JT Chargois is slated to get the start and has been used out of the bullpen all season long. I’m taking the Pirates on the moneyline in this one.

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