Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Total Pick

by | Last updated May 3, 2023 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
Date: Tuesday, May 2nd, 7:10 ET
Location: Guaranteed Rate Field
TV: NSPCH
Money Line: Twins -167/White Sox +142 (Bet your picks for FREE by using one of our 100% bonus codes!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Chicago White Sox and the Twins on Tuesday, May 2nd at Guaranteed Rate Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIN -167 -1.5 O 8.5 (-120)
CHW +142 +1.5 U 8.5 (-101)

Twins vs. White Sox Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Max Kepler 1 RF
Carlos Correa 2 SS
Jorge Polanco 3 2B
Byron Buxton 4 CF
Trevor Larnach 5 RF
Jose Miranda 6 1B
Joey Gallo 7 RF
Christian Vázquez 8 C
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Joe Ryan SP

 

Batting Order Position
Luis Robert Jr. 1 CF
Andrew Benintendi 2 LF
Andrew Vaughn 3 LF
Eloy Jiménez 4 LF
Yasmani Grandal 5 C
Jake Burger 6 3B
Oscar Colas 7 CF
Elvis Andrus 8 SS
Romy Gonzalez 9 2B
Michael Kopech SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 17-12 SU / OU 12-14 / Runline 17-12
Chicago White Sox: 8-21 SU / OU 15-11 / Runline 12-17

The Twins head into today’s game in first place in the AL Central on a record of 17-12. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 6-4. At home, Minnesota is 10-6 and 7-6 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 4-3.

 

  • The Twins have covered the runline in 58.6% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.9
  • The Twins have been favored in 69.0% of their games and have runline records of 9-7 and 8-5 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 12-14.

Heading into today’s action, the White Sox’s record of 8-21 has them sitting 4th in the AL Central. Currently, they are nine games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 4-12 and 4-9, respectively. Chicago’s overall series record sits at 0-7.

 

  • The White Sox have covered the runline in 41.4% of their games and have an average run margin of -2.2
  • The White Sox have been favored in 27.6% of their games and have runline records of 5-8 and 7-9 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 58% of the White Sox’s 29 games at 15-11.
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Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Joe Ryan 5 5 32 5-0 2.81 .81 4


The Twins will turn to starter Joe Ryan who has an overall record of 5-0. After five appearances, his ERA is 2.81 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.1. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.23 and an OBP of .221.

The last time Joe Ryan took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 6-2 against the Yankees. Ryan gave up two runs and seven hits across seven innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Michael Kopech 5 5 25 0-3 7.01 1.71 8


With an overall record of 0-3, the White Sox will give Michael Kopech the start. His ERA stands at 7.01 with a K/9 figure of 1.0 after making five appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 7.44 and an OBP of .387.

Michael Kopech took the loss after allowing four runs on six hits in his previous outing against the Blue Jays. In the game, the White Sox fell 8-0.

Twins vs. White Sox Offense Outlook

Through 29 games the Twins are 14th in the league at 4.6 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Minnesota is 8th having gone deep 38 times. In terms of batting average, they have hit .237 including .216 on the road and .243 at home.

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Byron Buxton .278 6 .595 .401
Jose Miranda .241 2 .345 .292
Trevor Larnach .244 2 .372 .330
Michael A. Taylor .269 3 .433 .325
Max Kepler .273 3 .509 .369


Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Byron Buxton .267 5 5 3 .833
Jose Miranda .375 5 5 3 1.125
Max Kepler .333 5 3 1 .683
Joey Gallo .167 3 4 1 .500
Carlos Correa .167 3 3 1 .367


The White Sox have played 29 games so far and have an average of 4.1 runs per game, putting them 22nd in the league. Chicago has hit 28 home runs, ranking them 21st in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .235, while hitting .215 on the road and .243 at home.

Chicago White Sox Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
White Sox 29 4.1 (22nd) 28 (21st) .235 (22nd) .296 (27th) .296 (27th)


Chicago White Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jake Burger .273 5 5 2 .730
Andrew Vaughn .340 7 3 2 .690
Adam Haseley .360 6 4 0 .460
Elvis Andrus .170 4 2 0 .210
Eloy Jiménez .333 7 2 0 .400


Free MLB Pick

In a recent three-game series held in Minneapolis, these two teams saw all their matches ending with seven or fewer runs (0-2-1 O/U). Joe Ryan, the anticipated starter for the Twins, has displayed exceptional form in his last three appearances, boasting a 2.25 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. Although his previous stats against the White Sox lineup aren’t particularly impressive, it’s essential to note that this is based on a limited sample size of just 14 at-bats, which is heavily influenced by Andrew Benintendi’s outstanding 4-for-5 performance. On the other hand, the White Sox managed to accumulate 12 runs in their most recent game, but they struggled to score more than three runs in seven of their prior eight games.

Chicago will send Michael Kopech to the mound, and while his 1.87 WHIP and 7.20 ERA over his past three starts may raise concerns, it’s crucial to remember that these starts were against formidable opponents such as the Rays, Jays, and Orioles. Kopech has shown promising results against the Twins’ lineup in the past, restricting them to a .175 batting average across 57 at-bats. Based on this analysis, Rich’s pick is to take the Under 9.

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