Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview & MLB Pick

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
Date: Saturday, May 6th, 6:10 ET
Location: Progressive Field
TV: BSGL
Money Line: Twins -113/Guardians -104
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cleveland Guardians and the Twins on Saturday, May 6th at Progressive Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Twins vs. Guardians Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Donovan Solano	1	SS
Carlos Correa	2	SS
Byron Buxton	3	CF
Jose Miranda	4	1B
Jorge Polanco	5	2B
Ryan Jeffers	6	C
Willi Castro	7	SS
Joey Gallo	8	RF
Michael A. Taylor	9	CF
Sonny Gray	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Steven Kwan	1	LF
Amed Rosario	2	SS
José Ramírez	3	3B
Josh Naylor	4	1B
Josh Bell	5	1B
Andrés Giménez	6	2B
Mike Zunino	7	C
Will Brennan	8	CF
Myles Straw	9	CF
Logan Allen	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 19-14 SU / OU 14-16 / Runline 19-14
Cleveland Guardians: 14-18 SU / OU 12-20 / Runline 12-20

The Twins take on the Guardians in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the AL Central on an overall record of 19-14. So far, they are 9-8 on the road and 10-6 at home. Minnesota’s overall series record stands at 5-4.

• The Twins have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.9.
• The Twins have been favored in 69.7% of their games and have runline records of 9-7 and 10-7 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 14-16.

Heading into their game vs. the Twins, the Guardians have a record of 14-18 and have dropped three straight games. In the AL Central, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 3-7. At home, they have gone 4-9 and 10-9 on the road.

• The Guardians have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.7.
• The Guardians have been favored in 62.5% of their games and have runline records of 4-9 and 8-11 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 12-20.

Pitching Matchup

Sonny Gray has an overall record of 4-0, and will get the start for the Twins. With six appearances, his ERA currently stands at .77, while his K/9 figure is 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.03 and an OBP of .264.

The last time Sonny Gray took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 8-4 against the Royals. Gray gave up one run and five hits across six innings.

With an overall record of 1-1, the Guardians will give Logan Allen the start. His ERA stands at 2.46 with a K/9 figure of 1.4 after making two appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.44 and an OBP of .267.

Having allowed two runs on four hits in five innings against the Red Sox, Logan Allen is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Guardians.

Twins vs. Guardians Offense Outlook

The Twins have hit 43 home runs this season, making them one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball (7th). In addition to their impressive home run stats, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .225. At home, their slugging percentage is .428, compared to .351 on the road.

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters On The Road

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

After 32 games, the Guardians are ranked 27th in the league with an average of 3.6 runs per game. Cleveland ranks 30th in home runs (17) while their overall batting average is .224. On the road, they have a BA of .225 and .208 at home.

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters vs. Righties

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Twins are sending out their ace Sonny Gray, who has been in sensational form this season. He has allowed one or fewer runs in all six of his starts so far, which is a remarkable feat. While historically Gray has not had the greatest numbers against the Guardians’ roster, the fact remains that he is pitching at a high level currently.

On the other side, the Guardians will be sending out their rookie Logan Allen. Allen has looked impressive in his two starts, allowing just three runs over 11 innings while striking out 16 batters.

Additionally, the Twins have struggled against left-handed pitching this season, hitting just .192 on average and averaging only 3.18 runs per nine innings against lefties.

The Guardians’ offense has been sputtering lately, failing to score more than three runs in each of their last five games. Therefore, I believe that the Under 7.5 at -105 presents a solid betting opportunity for this game.

In summary, considering the strong starters, the solid bullpen stats of both teams and the offensive struggles of the Guardians, I recommend taking the Under 7.5 at -105. Don’t forget to check out Ken Strong’s Derby Picks for today’s big race!