MLB Picks: Texas Rangers vs. San Diego Padres

Texas Rangers vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Saturday, July 29th, 8:40 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: BSSD
Money Line: Tex +144/SD -173 (Stop wasting your money by overpaying for odds! It makes no sense! Start betting for cheaper at BAS Sportsbook! You’ll be so glad you did!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Rangers on Saturday, July 29th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Rangers vs. Padres Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Texas Rangers: 60-44 SU / OU 54-44 / Runline 61-43

San Diego Padres: 50-54 SU / OU 41-55 / Runline 50-54Even though the Rangers are in first place in the AL West, they have gone just 2-3 over their last five games. Texas’ overall record currently sits at 60-44, including going 26-24 on the road and 34-20 at home. Their series record stands at 19-12-2.

• The Rangers have covered the runline in 58.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.5
• The Rangers have been favored in 65.4% of their games and have runline records of 33-21 and 28-22 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Rangers’ 104 games at 54-44.

Heading into today’s action, the Padres’ record of 50-54 has them sitting 4th in the NL West. Currently, they are nine games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 23-29 and 27-25, respectively. San Diego’s overall series record sits at 13-16-4.

• The Padres have covered the runline in 48.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
• The Padres have been favored in 76.0% of their games and have runline records of 25-27 and 25-27 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 41-55.

Pitching Matchup

Today will be Martín Pérez’s 20th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 8-3. His current ERA stands at 4.91 and OBP allowed of .338. So far, he struckout 68 batters and has a WHIP of 1.49. On the road, his ERA is 7.20 compared to 7.06 at home.

In Martín Pérez’s last outing, he gave up four runs on six hits to the Dodgers. Pérez came away with the win, as the Rangers came out on top by a score of 8-4.

Yu Darvish heads into the game with an overall record of 7-7 and an ERA of 4.80. In his nine appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 6.01 and record of 5-3. At home, he has put together a mark of 2-4 and ERA of 5.32. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.31, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .251. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .433.

Darvish is coming off an outing in which he gave up seven earned runs and eight hits in 4 1/3 innings of action. San Diego lost the game by a score of 8-4 to the Pirates.

Rangers vs. Padres Offense Outlook

As of now, the Rangers are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with a total of 144 home runs (6th). Their overall performance has been impressive, averaging 5.8 runs per game with a collective batting average of .274. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .418 compared to .483 at home.

Texas Rangers Top Bats

Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

The Padres are making their mark in the power department with a total of 132 home runs (9th). They are currently averaging 4.5 runs per game overall, with a collective batting average of .236. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .394 compared to .402 at home.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters vs. Lefties

San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Rangers starter Martin Perez has always struggled in July over the course of his career. The 2023 MLB season has been no different. He’s had a horrible month, in which he’s allowed 13 runs in 12.1 innings (9.49 ERA), walked eight hitters and has given up five dingers in those 12.1 innings. His K rate has been bad too. He’s simply not fooling hitters and is getting too much of the plate. The Rangers have lost three of their last four games and five of their last seven.

The San Diego Padres are in a comfortable spot having played their last four games at home and winning two of their last three contests. They’ll feature Yu Darvish, who got blown up in his last start. Yu has been blown up a few times this season and has responded well, allowing one earned run or less in three of four post blowout spots. I expect him to come out focused Saturday night at Petco Park against a struggling Texas squad. Bet your MLB picks for FREE this week with a 50% bonus when you use your credit card or 75% bonus when you use Bitcoin to deposit at Bovada Sportsbook!