Nationals vs. Mariners Runline Bet 8/23/22

by | Last updated Aug 23, 2022 | mlb

Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Tuesday August 23rd, 10:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
Money Line: Nationals 210 / Mariners -260
Total Line: 7.5 (Find the best sportsbooks >>>)


Washington: Erick Fedde (5-7, 4.95)
Seattle: Robbie Ray (9-8, 3.87)

Nationals Projected Lineup

C.J. Abrams SS
Ildemaro Vargas 3B
César Hernández 2B
Joey Meneses 1B
Alex Call LF
Tres Barrera C
Luke Voit 1B
Nelson Cruz CF
Lane Thomas CF
Erick Fedde P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Cal Raleigh C
J.P. Crawford SS
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Sam Haggerty RF
Adam Frazier 2B
Jesse Winker LF
Mitch Haniger RF
Julio Rodriguez CF
Ty France 1B
Robbie Ray P


Washington Nationals: 41-82-0 SU / OU 59-57-7 / Run Line W/L 53-70-0
Seattle Mariners: 66-56-0 SU / OU 60-56-6 / Run Line W/L 62-60-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Washington Nationals on Tuesday August 23rd at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-260), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

After suffering a 1 run loss to the San Diego (2-1), the Nationals will look to get back in the win column. Even in the loss, the pitching staff gave up just 2 runs while allowing 9 hits. The Nationals ended the game with just 1 run on 7 hits. Washington’s loss came as the underdog, getting 230.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Nationals and San Diego stayed below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. However, for the season, Washington still has an overall over-under record of 59-57-7.

After their 5 most recent games, the Nationals have gone just 2-3. Even with this record, their scoring differential during this time is +2. On offense, Washington’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 2.6 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Washington’s overall series record is just 8-27-3.

The Mariners will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 5-3 to the Athletics. On their way to giving up 5 runs, the Mariners staff allowed 12 hits. The Mariners’ offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 9 hits. Seattle came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-220.0). So far, the team has won 64.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Mariners and Athletics combined to surpass the line of 6.5 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 60-56-6.

In their last 5 games, the Mariners have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +15. The Mariners’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 7.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.16. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 20-16-2.

Pitching Matchup

Washington will roll with Erick Fedde (5-7) as their starter. So far, Fedde has put together an ERA of 4.95. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.85 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.269. Opponents are hitting for power against Fedde, as his HR/9 figure sits at 1.27. In terms of strikeouts, Erick Fedde has a strong strikeout percentage of 17.0%, including a per-game average of 3.68. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Fedde is averaging 4.56 free passes per outing.

In today’s game, Seattle turns to starter Robbie Ray. For the year, he has a record of 9-8. So far, Ray has put together an ERA of 3.87. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.92 innings. Through 24 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.226. Home runs have been a concern for Ray as he is allowing 1.46 per 9 innings. On the season, Robbie Ray has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 28%. This has led to an average of 6.92 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.23 walks per outing.

Washington vs Seattle History

Today’s matchup between the Washington Nationals and Seattle Mariners will be their 3rd meeting of the season. Seattle holds the edge in the series at 2-0. Through 2 games, the series over-under record is 1-1, with the average run total sitting at nan runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 1.5 runs.

Betting Trends

  • Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle’s last 8 games
  • Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

Washington Nationals at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Tuesday’s interleague matchup between Washington and Seattle, the Mariners are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. Not only should Robbie Ray be able to keep the Nationals in check, but they should also have a good offensive night vs Erick Fedde. In his last 3 outings, Fedde has not pitched into the 6th inning and has an overall WHIP of 1.54. I like Seattle to cover the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Mariners Runline

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