Nationals vs. Reds Moneyline Pick 6/3/22

by | Jun 3, 2022 | mlb

Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Friday, June 3rd, 06:40 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Money Line: Nationals 100 / Reds -120
Total Line: 9.5
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STARTING PITCHING

Washington: Josiah Gray (5-4, 5.08)
Cincinnati: Mike Minor (0-0, 0)

Nationals Projected Lineup

Maikel Franco 3B
Lane Thomas CF
Josh Bell 1B
Juan Soto RF
Yadiel Hernandez LF
Luis Garcia SS
Keibert Ruiz C
Nelson Cruz CF
César Hernández 2B
Josiah Gray P

Reds Projected Lineup

Albert Almora Jr. LF
Mike Moustakas 3B
Tyler Stephenson C
Kyle Farmer SS
Brandon Drury 3B
Matt Reynolds 2B
Tommy Pham LF
Joey Votto 1B
Nick Senzel CF
Mike Minor P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Washington Nationals: 18-35-0 SU / OU 25-25-3 / Run Line W/L 19-34-0
Cincinnati Reds: 18-32-0 SU / OU 27-22-1 / Run Line W/L 23-27-0

The Cincinnati Reds host the Washington Nationals on Friday, June 3rd at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Cincinnati as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 9.5.

Recent Form

The Nationals are hoping to get back on track after falling to the Reds by a score of 8-1. Washington’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 10 hits, leading to 8 runs. Offensively, they finished with just 1 run on 5 hits. The loss came as Washington was the betting underdog, getting 115.0 on the moneyline. Combined, the Nationals and Reds fell short of the over-under betting line of 9.5 runs. Washington once again has a .500 over-under betting record 25-25-3.

The Nationals will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 1-4 over their last 5 games. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -29. On offense, Washington’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 2.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Washington’s overall series record is just 3-13-1.

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a big win over the Nationals by a score of 8-1. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 5 hits. Offensively, they finished with 8 runs on 10 hits. Cincinnati picked up the win while being favored at -125.0. So far, the team has won 45.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Reds and Nationals combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.5 runs. Even still, Cincinnati games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 27-22-1.

In their last 5 games, the Reds have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +1. Cincinnati is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 3.6 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.20. Cincinnati has a below .500 series record of just 5-8-4.

Pitching Matchup

Washington will roll with Josiah Gray (5-4) as their starter. To date, Gray has an ERA of 5.08 while lasting an average of 5.11 innings per appearance. So far, Gray has a batting average allowed of 0.237. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Gray, averaging 2.29 homers per 9 innings pitched. Overall, he is averaging 5.4 per game, on a K rate of 24.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.38 walks per outing.

For the Nationals, starter Mike Minor will be making his first appearance of the year. Last year, Minor went 8-12 on a .505 ERA while pitching for the Royals.

Washington vs Cincinnati History

Today’s matchup between the Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds will be their 2nd meeting of the season. Currently, Cincinnati is winning the season series 1-0. Through 1st games, the series’ over-under record is 0-1, with the average run total sitting at 8.29 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 7.0 runs. Cincinnati won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 5 wins to 2. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 3-4. Last year, the Nationals and Reds averaged 8.29 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.29 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Washington is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • Washington is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Cincinnati
  • Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games

Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Even with Mike Minor making his first start of the season, the Cincinnati Reds are the slight favorite to pick up a win vs Washington. However, I see the Nationals coming away with the victory. On the season, Washington has one of the best team batting averages vs left-handed pitching. I like the Nationals on the moneyline.

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