Nationals vs Reds Moneyline Pick 6/5/22

by | Jun 5, 2022 | mlb

Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Sunday, June 5th, 01:40 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Money Line: Nationals +122 / Reds -145 (MyBookie)
Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

Washington: Patrick Corbin (1-8, 6.96)
Cincinnati: Luis Castillo (2-2, 3.38)

Nationals Projected Lineup

Maikel Franco 3B
Luis Garcia SS
Josh Bell 1B
Juan Soto RF
Yadiel Hernandez RF
Victor Robles CF
Keibert Ruiz C
Nelson Cruz CF
César Hernández 2B
Patrick Corbin P

Reds Projected Lineup

Kyle Farmer SS
Albert Almora Jr. RF
Tommy Pham LF
Aristides Aquino RF
Brandon Drury 3B
Matt Reynolds SS
Tyler Stephenson C
Joey Votto 1B
Nick Senzel CF
Luis Castillo P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Washington Nationals: 20-35-0 SU / OU 27-25-3 / Run Line W/L 21-34-0
Cincinnati Reds: 18-34-0 SU / OU 29-22-1 / Run Line W/L 23-29-0

The Cincinnati Reds host the Washington Nationals on Sunday, June 5th at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Cincinnati as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Washington will be looking to tack on another win after taking down the Reds by the score of 10-8. The Reds came up with 10 hits leading to 10 runs against Washington’s pitchers. The Nationals benefited from an offense that generated 10 runs on 16 hits. Washington picked up the win, despite getting 113.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Nationals and Reds combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 10.0 runs. Washington now has an over-under record of 27-25-3.

In their last 5 games, the Nationals are below .500, at 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -17. In their last 5 contests, Washington is averaging 3.8 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.09. Washington’s overall series record is just 4-12-1.

The Reds will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 10-8 to the Nationals. Cincinnati’s pitching staff gave up 16 hits, leading to 10 runs for the Nationals. At the plate, the Reds scored 8 times on 10 hits. Cincinnati dropped the game despite being favored at -135.0. So far, the team has won 38.0% of the games in which they were favored. The Reds and Nationals went over the run total line set at 10.0 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 29-22-1.

In their last 5 contests, the Reds have just 2 wins, going 2-3. During this time, the team has a run differential of -3. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate (4.8) similar to their season-long average of 4.29. Cincinnati has a below .500 series record of just 4-9-4.

Pitching Matchup

Washington will roll with Patrick Corbin (1-8) as their starter. So far, Corbin has put together an ERA of 6.96. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.92 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.313. Home runs have been an issue for Corbin, as he is allowing an average of 1.16 per 9 innings pitched. Overall, he is averaging 4.36 per game, on a K rate of 18.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.98 walks per outing.

Luis Castillo gets the start for the Reds, with an overall record of 2-2. So far, Castillo has put together an ERA of 3.38. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.24 innings. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.196 against Castillo. Home runs have not been an issue for Castillo, as he’s giving up just 0.69 per 9. Castillo is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 5.6 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 27.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.7 walks per contest.

Washington vs Cincinnati History

For the season, the Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds will be playing their 4th game of the season. So far, Washington is leading the season series, 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-1. The average run total in these games is 8.29 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.0 runs. Cincinnati won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 5 wins to 2. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 3-4, with the average run total being 8.29 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.29 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games when playing Washington
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s matchup between Cincinnati and Washington, the Reds are the favorite on the moneyline. Look for Cincinnati to pick up the home win, as nearly everyone has come up with a good offensive performance against Patrick Corbin. I like the Reds on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: Reds Moneyline

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