New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Total Pick

by | Last updated Apr 23, 2023 | mlb

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants
Date: Sunday, April 23rd, 7:08 ET
Location: Oracle Park
TV: ESPN,ESPN2
Money Line: Mets -122/Giants +104 (Deposit $200 get $100 FREE at the web’s best bookie!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Francisco Giants and the Mets on Sunday, April 23rd at Oracle Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
-122 -1.5 O 9 (-101)
+104 +1.5 U 9 (-120)

Mets vs. Giants Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Brandon Nimmo 1 CF
Starling Marte 2 CF
Francisco Lindor 3 SS
Pete Alonso 4 1B
Jeff McNeil 5 2B
Daniel Vogelbach 6 1B
Mark Canha 7 LF
Brett Baty 8 3B
Francisco Alvarez 9 C
Tylor Megill SP

 

Batting Order Position
LaMonte Wade Jr. 1 1B
Michael Conforto 2 LF
Mike Yastrzemski 3 CF
J.D. Davis 4 3B
Wilmer Flores 5 3B
Thairo Estrada 6 2B
Brandon Crawford 7 SS
Blake Sabol 8 C
Joey Bart 9 C
Ross Stripling SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 14-8 SU / OU 10-12 / Runline 13-9
San Francisco Giants: 7-13 SU / OU 11-8 / Runline 8-12

With an overall record of 14-8, the Mets are in 2nd place in the NL East, trailing by 0.5 game. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 8-2. On the road, the Mets have a mark of 10-6 while going 4-2 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 5-1.

 

  • The Mets have covered the runline in 59.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.9
  • The Mets have been favored in 68.2% of their games and have runline records of 4-2 and 9-7 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 10-12.

Heading into today’s action, the Giants’ record of 7-13 has them sitting 4th in the NL West. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 4-7 and 3-6, respectively. San Francisco’s overall series record sits at 1-5.

 

  • The Giants have covered the runline in 40.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.8
  • The Giants have been favored in 35.0% of their games and have runline records of 3-6 and 5-6 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 58% of the Giants’ 20 games at 11-8.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Tylor Megill 4 4 21 3-1 3.00 1.43 4

Tylor Megill has an overall record of 3-1, and will get the start for the Mets. With four appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.00, while his K/9 figure is 0.8. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.77 and an OBP of .330.

Tylor Megill is coming off an outing against the Dodgers in which he allowed three runs on seven hits in five innings of work, taking the loss. The Mets lost the game by a score of 5-0.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Ross Stripling 4 1 12 0-1 7.30 1.46 6

With an overall record of 0-1, the Giants will give Ross Stripling the start. His ERA stands at 7.30 with a K/9 figure of 1.0 after making four appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 8.77 and an OBP of .345.

Ross Stripling struggled in his most recent appearance, giving up zero runs in only 2 1/3 innings of work. In the game, the Giants fell by a score of 4-2 to the Marlins.

Mets vs. Giants Offense Outlook

This season, New York is 7th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Their home run count is currently around the league average, with 25 long balls hit. The team’s current batting average of .242 is 18th in the league, while their away batting average is ranked 15th compared to 21st at home.

New York Mets Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Brandon Nimmo .400 2 .583 .461
Jeff McNeil .295 1 .393 .350
Pete Alonso .266 7 .609 .407
Francisco Lindor .217 2 .433 .339
Starling Marte .235 0 .294 .291

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Brandon Nimmo .470 11 4 2 .780
Pete Alonso .230 5 3 2 .500
Jeff McNeil .417 7 4 1 .617
Mark Canha .390 6 4 0 .530
Francisco Lindor .190 4 4 0 .290

So far this season, the Giants are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, having hit a total of 32 home runs (3rd). Overall, San Francisco is averaging 4.5 runs per contest and have a collective batting average of .235. At home, the Giants have a slugging percentage of .418 compared to .357 at home.

San Francisco Giants Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Thairo Estrada .329 .378 .500 6 3 5
Mike Yastrzemski .257 .286 .473 10 4 0
J.D. Davis .306 .343 .532 13 4 0

San Francisco Giants Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Mike Yastrzemski .321 5 2 2 .721
Thairo Estrada .307 6 5 0 .307
Wilmer Flores .257 5 3 1 .507
Michael Conforto .188 2 3 1 .562
Brandon Crawford .062 1 1 1 .250

Free MLB Pick

The Mets are on fire, putting up at least four runs in eight of their past ten games. They’re going up against Ross Stripling, who’s only making his second start of the season. He’s had a rough time in relief, giving up six runs in just 7 1/3 innings, allowing three homers. To make matters worse, the Yankees crushed four dingers against him in his only start, and the wind is expected to carry balls out tonight.

On the other hand, the Mets have Tylor Megill on the mound, who’s been holding it down all season, giving up three or fewer runs per outing. But keep in mind that three of those starts were against weak offensive teams like Miami (twice) and San Diego. The Giants have been hitting well, but their pitching has been their downfall this season. Over their last ten games, they’ve only had three wins but scored five or more runs in seven of those games. Also, the Giants have had success against Megill, batting .312 with a .353 OBP and a .915 OPS.

Take the OVER 9 in this matchup. Bet your MLB predictions for FREE this week by scoring a massive 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $50 to $300 when you use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!