Orioles vs. Mariners Picks & Predictions

by | Jun 27, 2022 | mlb

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Monday, June 27th, 10:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: MASN 2
Money Line: Orioles +133 / Mariners -144 (BetOnline)
Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Baltimore: Tyler Wells (5-4, 3.34) Seattle: George Kirby (2-2, 3.12)

Orioles Projected Lineup

Rougned Odor 2B Tyler Nevin 3B Ryan Mountcastle 1B Anthony Santander RF Adley Rutschman C Jorge Mateo SS Austin Hays RF Cedric Mullins CF Trey Mancini 1B Tyler Wells P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Justin Upton LF Adam Frazier 2B Taylor Trammell RF Cal Raleigh C Eugenio Suárez 3B Kevin Padlo 1B Jesse Winker LF J.P. Crawford SS Julio Rodriguez CF George Kirby P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Baltimore Orioles: 34-40-0 SU / OU 33-39-2 / Run Line W/L 47-27-0 Seattle Mariners: 34-40-0 SU / OU 34-38-2 / Run Line W/L 37-37-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Baltimore Orioles on Monday, June 27th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-150), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Orioles will look to rebound from a close, 4-3 loss to the White Sox. In the loss, Baltimore’s pitchers gave up 4 runs on 8 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 3 runs on 7 hits. Baltimore’s loss came as the underdog, getting 190.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 9.0 runs. So far, Baltimore has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 33-39-2.

The Orioles are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +17. Offensively, the team has put up 24 runs in their last 5 games. Baltimore’s season average comes in at 4.08 (22nd. So far, Baltimore has won over half of their 23 series played, going 10-9-4.

The Mariners are coming off a tight loss to the Angels, dropping the game 2-1. Even in the loss, the pitching staff allowed just 2 runs on 6 hits. The Mariners’ offense ended the game with just 1 run on 6 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Seattle came into the game as the underdog, getting 125.0. So far, the team has gone into 41 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 39.0%. Combined, the Mariners and Angels’ run total fell below the over-under line of 9.5 runs. Now, Seattle had an over-under record of 34-38-2.

Across their last 5 contests, the Mariners are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +12. Seattle has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.2 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 3.96. Seattle has a below .500 series record of just 10-12-1.

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Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send Tyler Wells to the mound with an overall record of 5-4. Currently, Wells has an ERA of just 3.34 while pitching an average of 4.59 innings per outing. In his previous outings, right-hander opponents are hitting 0.229 off the right-hander. So far, Wells has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 1.12 home runs per 9 innings. Wells is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 2.86 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 15.0%. Throughout the season, Wells has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.23 per contest.

George Kirby gets the start for the Mariners, with an overall record of 2-2. Heading into the game, Kirby has appeared in 9 contests, posting an ERA of just 3.12. On average, he pitches 5.44 innings per appearance. Together, opponents have a batting average of 0.254 against Kirby. Home runs have been an issue for Kirby, as he is allowing an average of 1.47 per 9 innings pitched. Overall, he is averaging 5.22 per game, on a K rate of 23.0%. Kirby has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 1.1 per contest.

Baltimore vs Seattle History

Today’s matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Seattle Mariners will be their 4th meeting of the season. Seattle holds the edge in the series at 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-0. The average run total in these games is 7.14 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 6.0 runs. Seattle won last year’s head to head series, grabbing 4 wins to 3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 2-5, with the average run total being 7.14 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.29 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle’s last 9 games at home
  • Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Monday’s American League matchup between Baltimore and Seattle, the Mariners are the favorite to pick up the win. However, I recommend taking the Orioles to pull off the upset. Look for Tyler Wells to put together another quality outing on the mound. In addition, Baltimore’s offense has provided Wells with outstanding run support, winning 5 straight games with the right-hander on the mound.

Free MLB Pick:Baltimore Moneyline