Philadelphia Phillies vs. LA Dodgers Odds & Pick
Philadelphia Phillies (15-17) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (20-10)
When: 10:10 p.m., Friday, May 13
Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Moneyline: PHI +190/LAD -220 (MyBookie – Use bonus code PREDICT100 to get a 100% real cash bonus up to $300!)
Runline: Phillies +1.5/Dodgers -1.5
Starting Pitchers: Kyle Gibson (3-1, 2.94 ERA, 1.07 WHIP) vs. Clayton Kershaw (4-0, 1.80 ERA, 0.73 WHIP)
Blip On the Radar?
When a team of the Dodgers’ capabilities loses one game, it’s not a big deal. Baseball is 162 games in large part because a bad team can beat a good team about a quarter of the time. However, the Dodgers have now lost three of their past four games after losing the opener of this series, and it’s now fair to wonder whether this is a blip or a sign of real peril for what has been the NL’s best team.
The Dodgers’ problem isn’t so much that they lost as it is who they lost to and how they lost. They managed to lose twice to Pittsburgh, a surprising series loss to a team that is making no attempt whatsoever to try to compete in 2022. They then followed that up by losing the first game of the set to Philadelphia, something the Dodgers just haven’t done much in recent years. Add it up, and you’ve got a Los Angeles squad that’s likely searching for answers after a surprising set of results. However, the lines for this game suggest that the books aren’t buying that this is anything more than a bad set of four days for the Dodgers, as there’s no more value on Los Angeles than usual.
If the Phillies are going to make their way back into the race for the NL East and put any pressure on the Mets whatsoever, they’re going to have to do it by hitting their way back into the race. The Phillies do have a bit of an edge in the hitting department over most teams because of their park’s small dimensions, but the Phillies have been whacking the ball pretty well no matter where the games are played.
Philadelphia sits sixth in the majors in home runs, but it’s not just hitting the ball out of the park that has made the Phillies a tough out for teams. The Phils have excelled at hitting the ball where there isn’t a fielder going to be, as they’re also in the top 10 in triples and just outside of it in doubles. Philadelphia spent big to purchase big bats like those of Nick Castellanos in the offseason, and the Phils seem determined to make sure that they cash in on those plays. The series opener was a fine example, as Philadelphia got off to a great start and kind of turned the tables on Los Angeles, beating a team that rarely loses at home and especially doesn’t do so in its first meeting of the season with them.
Clayton Kershaw was expected to pitch well, but not quite to this extent. With an ERA of 1.80 and a 0.73 WHIP to go along with his 4-0 record, Kershaw is enjoying one of the finest seasons of his career in this young 2022 campaign. It hasn’t really mattered whether he’s striking batters out or allowing them to make contact, as they’re not making quality contact against him when they do put the ball in play.
In five starts, Kershaw has given up just 19 hits and six runs, and four of the six runs came in one start against Atlanta because of the Braves using the long ball. When he keeps the ball in the park, he’s given up just two runs in 25 innings of work, which would be a staggering 0.72 ERA.
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- The Phillies have won six straight against the NL West.
- The Phillies are 6-14 in their past 20 road games.
- The Dodgers are 41-10 in their past 51 home games.
- The Dodgers have won four straight games on Fridays.
- The over is 6-0 in the Phillies’ past six games against the NL West.
- The under is 5-2 in the Phillies’ past seven games as an underdog.
- The under is 11-1 in the Dodgers’ past 12 Friday games.
- The under is 7-2 in the Dodgers’ past nine games against a right-handed starter.
- The Phillies are 5-14 in the past 19 meetings in Los Angeles.
- The under is 6-1-1 in the past eight meetings in Los Angeles.
This should be a great night to play baseball in southern California, with temperatures at 78 degrees at first pitch and wind blowing to the right-field corner at a mere five miles per hour.
The value isn’t there for the Dodgers, but going against Kershaw right now just isn’t smart. Kershaw has pitched so well this season that there’s no real reason to think he’s going to let up in this game. The regression to the mean might very well be coming, but I can’t see it happening here and especially not after losing the first game to the Phillies.
I think the Dodgers bounce back in this one and cruise to a cover. Give me Los Angeles on the run line to get some actual value. Question: Did you know that you could be betting on baseball games at a lower price (odds)? YES! Find this beautiful opportunity at BetAnySports Sportsbook!
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