Philadelphia vs Arizona Betting Predictions

by | Aug 31, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Wednesday August 31st, 09:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: NBCSP
Money Line: Phillies -145 / Diamondbacks +122
Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

Philadelphia: Bailey Falter (2-3, 4.41) Arizona: Tommy Henry (3-2, 3.25)

Phillies Projected Lineup

Jean Segura 2B Brandon Marsh CF J.T. Realmuto C Nick Castellanos RF Alec Bohm 3B Edmundo Sosa SS Bryce Harper RF Kyle Schwarber LF Rhys Hoskins 1B Bailey Falter P

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Emmanuel Rivera 3B Jake McCarthy LF Corbin Carroll RF Daulton Varsho C Josh Rojas 2B Geraldo Perdomo SS Carson Kelly C Ketel Marte 2B Christian Walker 1B Tommy Henry P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Philadelphia Phillies: 72-58-0 SU / OU 65-60-5 / Run Line W/L 67-63-0 Arizona Diamondbacks: 61-67-0 SU / OU 60-64-4 / Run Line W/L 75-53-0

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday August 31st at Chase Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Philadelphia as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

The Phillies are hoping to get back on track after falling to Arizona by a score of 12-3. On their way to giving up 12 runs, the Phillies staff allowed 17 hits. With their 4 hits, the Phillies could only muster 3 runs. Phillies suffered the loss, despite being favored at -124.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 89 of their games, winning at a rate of 57.9%. Together, the Phillies and Arizona combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.0 runs. Philadelphia has had more than half of their games go over the over-under line (65-60-5).

The Phillies will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -11. In their last 5 contests, Philadelphia is averaging 4.6 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.64. So far, Philadelphia has won over half of their 41 series played, going 20-18-3.

In their last game, the Arizona Diamondbacks picked up a 9-run win over the Phillies by a score of 12-3. For the game, the pitching staff held the Phillies to 3 runs on 4 hits. At the plate, the Diamondbacks scored 12 times on 17 hits. This was a good win for the Diamondbacks, as they were underdogs at 114.0 on the moneyline. In their 87 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 44.0%. The Diamondbacks and Phillies went over the run total line set at 7.0 runs. Against the run total, Arizona is just 60-64-4.

Over their last 5 games, the Diamondbacks have not lost a game, going 5-0. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +26. The Diamondbacks’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 9.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.45. Arizona has a below .500 series record of just 16-18-7.

Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send Bailey Falter to the mound with an overall record of 2-3. So far, Falter has put together an ERA of 4.41. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 3.92 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.259. Home runs have been an issue for Falter, as he is allowing an average of 2.12 per 9 innings pitched. Falter has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 21.0% and a per game average of 3.54. Throughout the season, Falter has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.29 per contest.

In today’s game, Arizona turns to starter Tommy Henry. For the year, he has a record of 3-2. Through 5 appearances, Henry has an ERA of just 3.25 while averaging 5.44 innings per appearance. Across his previous appearances, the right-hander has a batting average allowed of 0.228. So far, Henry has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.99 home runs per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Henry is averaging just 3.8 K’s per game. So far, he has struck out 16.0% of the batters he has faced. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 3.9 walks per contest.

Philadelphia vs Arizona History

For the season, the Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks will be playing their 6th game of the season. Arizona holds the edge in the series at 3-2. The over-under record in this series sits at 4-1. The average run total in these games is 9.29 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 6.6 runs. Arizona won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 4 wins to 3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 3-3, with the average run total being 9.29 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.71 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games when playing Arizona
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games on the road
  • Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s matchup between Philadelphia and Arizona, the Phillies are the favorite to come away with the win. However, the Diamondbacks have been red hot at the plate of late and have Tommy Henry on the mound. In his last 2 outings, the left-hander has given up just 2 earned runs. Look for Arizona to come away with yet another win over Philadelphia.

Free MLB Pick: Arizona Moneyline