Phillies vs. Cardinals Betting Predictions 10/8/22

by | Last updated Oct 8, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Saturday October 8th, 08:37 ET
Location: Busch Stadium
Money Line: Phillies -120 / Cardinals +100
Total Line: 6.5


Philadelphia: Aaron Nola (11-13, 3.25)
St. Louis: Miles Mikolas (12-13, 3.29)

Phillies Projected Lineup

Jean Segura 2B
Matt Vierling LF
J.T. Realmuto C
Nick Castellanos RF
Alec Bohm 3B
Bryson Stott SS
Bryce Harper RF
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Aaron Nola P

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Dylan Carlson RF
Yadier Molina C
Albert Pujols 1B
Lars Nootbaar LF
Corey Dickerson LF
Nolan Arenado 3B
Tommy Edman SS
Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Brendan Donovan 2B
Miles Mikolas P


Philadelphia Phillies: 87-75-0 SU / OU 83-75-5 / Run Line W/L 82-81-0
St. Louis Cardinals: 93-69-0 SU / OU 77-80-6 / Run Line W/L 87-76-0

The St. Louis Cardinals host the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday October 8th at Busch Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:37 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Philadelphia as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 6.5.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, Philadelphia picked up a 3-run win over St. Louis (6-3). On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 3 runs on 12 hits. The Phillies lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 4 hits, leading to 6 runs. Heading into their last game, Philadelphia was the betting favorite at -110.0. Through 110 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 59.0%. With the over-under line set at 6.5 runs, the Phillies and St. Louis combined to go over this total. This result is part of a larger trend, as Philadelphia has had the over has hit in more than half of their games (83-75-5).

The Phillies are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +2. Philadelphia has put together this record, despite averaging just 3.8 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.61. So far, Philadelphia has won over half of their 52 series played, going 25-22-5.

St. Louis will look to move on from a 3-run loss to the Pirates, falling by the score of 6-3. On their way to giving up 6 runs, the Cardinals staff allowed 9 hits. With their 8 hits, the Cardinals could only plate 3 runners. St. Louis dropped the game despite being favored at -110.0. So far, the team has won 67.0% of the games in which they were favored. The Cardinals and Pirates went over the run total line set at 6.5 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 77-80-6.

The Cardinals come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -7 over their last 5 games. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate (4.2) similar to their season-long average of 4.77. On the season, St. Louis has won more than half of their series, going 25-13-12.

Pitching Matchup

Philadelphia will roll with Aaron Nola (11-13) as their starter. Currently, Nola has an ERA of just 3.25 while pitching an average of 6.41 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.218 against him. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.83 home runs allowed per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Aaron Nola has a strong strikeout percentage of 28.9%, including a per-game average of 7.34. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.27 walks per outing.

St. Louis will roll with Miles Mikolas (12-13) as their starter. In his previous outings, Mikolas has lasted an average of 6.12 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.29. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.226. Per 9 innings pitched, Mikolas is giving up 1.11 home runs. On the season, Miles Mikolas has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. This has led to an average of 4.64 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.73 walks per outing.

Philadelphia vs St. Louis History

For the season, the Philadelphia Phillies and St. Louis Cardinals will be playing their 9th game of the season. So far, Philadelphia is leading the season series, 5-3. Through 8 games, the series over-under record is 2-6, with the average run total sitting at 7.29 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.38 runs.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing St. Louis
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

In game 1 of this NL Wild Card series between Philadelphia and St. Louis, the Phillies pulled off a shocking win by exploding for 6 runs late in the game. Now, Philadelphia is an excellent spot to advance as Aaron Nola takes the mound. Even though the Phillies just squeaked into the playoffs, I recommend taking them on the moneyline to advance.

Free MLB Pick: Phillies Moneyline

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