Pirates vs. Brewers Expert Pick for 6/17/23

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Saturday, June 17th, 4:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: BSWI
Money Line: Pirates -107/Brewers -110 (Stop wasting money! Bet on games for cheaper at BAS!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Pirates on Saturday, June 17th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Pirates vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Pittsburgh Pirates: 34-34 SU / OU 35-31 / Runline 34-34
Milwaukee Brewers: 35-34 SU / OU 29-38 / Runline 29-40

Heading into their game vs. the Brewers, the Pirates have a record of 34-34 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL Central, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 9-11-2. At home, they have gone 18-16 and 16-18 on the road.

• The Pirates have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
• The Pirates have been favored in 26.5% of their games and have runline records of 15-19 and 19-15 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 53% of the Pirates’ 68 games at 35-31.

Even though the Brewers are in first place in the NL Central, they have gone just 1-4 over their last five games. Milwaukee’s overall record currently sits at 35-34, including going 16-18 on the road and 19-16 at home. Their series record stands at 10-12.

• The Brewers have seven straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.3.
• The Brewers have been favored in 55.1% of their games and have runline records of 13-22 and 16-18 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 29-38.

Pitching Matchup

Mitch Keller has an overall record of 8-2, and will get the start for the Pirates. With 14 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.41, while his K/9 figure is 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.27 and an OBP of .285.

A quality start and a win were added to Mitch Keller’s record in his previous outing against the Mets. The Pirates went on to win by a score of 2-1. Keller allowed one run and two hits during seven innings.

Wade Miley has an overall record of 3-2, and will get the start for the Brewers. With eight appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.67, while his K/9 figure is 0.6. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.79 and an OBP of .285.

Lasting just 1 2/3 innings and giving up one run on one hit in his last outing, Wade Miley will be looking to bounce back today. He ended up with a no-decision in the Brewers’ 3-2 win over the Cardinals.

Pirates vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

With 4.4 runs per game, Pittsburgh is ranked 19th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. So far, they have hit 66 home runs, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their current batting average of .247 is 13th in the league. While their home batting average ranks 19th, they rank 14th on the road.

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters On The Road

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters: Last Five Games

In terms of offensive production Milwaukee is currently ranked 24th in the league this season. The team has hit 79 home runs, which is 13th, and their batting average of .229 is ranked 23rd in the league. When playing on the road, they rank 22nd in batting average, compared to 29th when playing at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Hitting Stats

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Almost all hitters on both teams aren’t hitting the ball at all. Both Mitch Keller and Wade Miley have been solid most of the season. Keller had a three-game poor spell, but got back on track in his last start. Miley has been steady all season. Only Christian Yelich is hitting and that shouldn’t be enough to score enough runs to go over 8.5. I’m betting the Pit/Mil UNDER 8.5. Late to the party? You can always jump into the action, even after the game has started by using the live betting option at Bovada Sportsbook! It’s the best on the planet! See our Bovada Review to see why their the best bookie on the web!