Pirates vs. Cardinals Moneyline Pick 6/14/22

by | Jun 14, 2022 | mlb

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Tuesday, June 14th, 01:15 ET

Location: Busch Stadium

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Money Line: Pirates +165 / Cardinals -200 (BetNow - Get a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Pittsburgh: JT Brubaker (0-6, 4.6)
St. Louis: Matthew Liberatore (1-1, 5.54)

Pirates Projected Lineup

Tucupita Marcano 2B
Tyler Heineman C
Jack Suwinski LF
Cal Mitchell RF
Diego Castillo SS
Ke’Bryan Hayes 3B
Daniel Vogelbach 1B
Michael Chavis 1B
Bryan Reynolds CF
JT Brubaker P

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Dylan Carlson CF
Yadier Molina C
Tyler O’Neill LF
Juan Yepez 1B
Nolan Arenado 3B
Harrison Bader CF
Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Tommy Edman SS
Nolan Gorman 2B

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Pittsburgh Pirates: 24-35-0 SU / OU 22-31-6 / Run Line W/L 26-33-0
St. Louis Cardinals: 35-27-0 SU / OU 31-28-3 / Run Line W/L 34-28-0

The St. Louis Cardinals host the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday, June 14th at Busch Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board places St. Louis as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

Pittsburgh heads into today’s action, looking to rebound from a 7-5 loss to the Cardinals. On their way to giving up 7 runs, the Pirates staff allowed 14 hits. On offense, the Pirates’ 7 hits and 5 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. The loss came as Pittsburgh was the betting underdog, getting 160.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.5 runs. Games involving the Pirates have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 22-31-6.

In their last 5 games, the Pirates are below .500, at 0-5. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -14. In their last 5 contests, Pittsburgh is averaging 3.0 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.46. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is just 6-11-3.

In their last game, St. Louis took down the Pirates by a score of 7-5. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 7 hits, leading to 5 runs. Offensively, they finished with 7 runs on 14 hits. Heading into action, St. Louis was the favorite, at -195.0. So far, the team has won 68.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Cardinals and Pirates combined to surpass the line of 9.5 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 31-28-3.

Across their last 5 contests, the Cardinals are above .500, going 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +3 (last 5). St. Louis is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.2 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.76. On the season, St. Louis has won more than half of their series, going 11-4-5.

Pitching Matchup

Pittsburgh will roll with JT Brubaker (0-6) as their starter. So far, Brubaker has put together an ERA of 4.6. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.85 innings. Brubaker comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.244. Opponents are hitting for power against Brubaker, as his HR/9 figure sits at 1.24. On the season, JT Brubaker has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. This includes a per game average of 5.0 K’s per game. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Brubaker is averaging 3.99 free passes per outing.

Matthew Liberatore gets the start for the Cardinals, with an overall record of 1-1. So far, Liberatore has put together an ERA of 5.54. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.33 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.278. Opposing hitters are hitting home runs at an above-average rate against Liberatore. This year, he is allowing 2.77 HR’s per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Liberatore is averaging just 3.33 K’s per game. So far, he has struck out 16.0% of the batters he has faced. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 5.54 walks per contest.

Pittsburgh vs St. Louis History

For the season, the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals will be playing their 8th game of the season. St. Louis holds the edge in the series at 6-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 4-1. The average run total in these games is 8.68 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 5.29 runs. St. Louis won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 12 wins to 7. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 7-9. Last year, the Pirates and Cardinals averaged 8.68 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.63 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games
  • Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
  • St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
  • St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

Heading into Tuesday’s NL Central showdown between Pittsburgh and St. Louis, the Cardinals are the heavy favorite to pick up another win over the Pirates. However, I recommend taking Pittsburgh to pull off the upset, as the last time they faced Matthew Liberatore, they defeated St. Louis 5-4. In the outing, Liberatore couldn’t work past the 4th inning while giving up 4 runs.

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