Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers Moneyline Bet

by | Last updated May 16, 2023 | mlb

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers
Date: Tuesday, May 16th, 6:40 ET
Location: Comerica Park
TV: BSDET
Money Line: Pirates -102/Tigers -117
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Detroit Tigers and the Pirates on Tuesday, May 16th at Comerica Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
PIT -102 -1.5 O 8.5 (-121)
DET -117 +1.5 U 8.5 (101)

Pirates vs. Tigers Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Ke’Bryan Hayes 1 3B
Bryan Reynolds 2 CF
Andrew McCutchen 3 DH
Carlos Santana 4 1B
Jack Suwinski 5 RF
Connor Joe 6 LF
Rodolfo Castro 7 2B
Ji Hwan Bae 8 2B
Austin Hedges 9 C
Luis L. Ortiz SP


Batting Order Position
Zach McKinstry 1 2B
Riley Greene 2 CF
Javier Báez 3 SS
Spencer Torkelson 4 1B
Nick Maton 5 LF
Akil Baddoo 6 LF
Matt Vierling 7 CF
Andy Ibáñez 8 3B
Eric Haase 9 C
Michael Lorenzen RP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Pittsburgh Pirates: 22-19 SU / OU 19-21 / Runline 22-19
Detroit Tigers: 18-21 SU / OU 19-19 / Runline 22-17

For the season, the Pirates have put together a record of 22-19, including going just 2-8 over their last ten games. In the NL Central standings, they are 2nd, trailing by one game. This year, they have gone 10-9 at home and 12-10 on the road with an overall series mark of 6-5.

  • The Pirates have covered the runline in 53.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.2
  • The Pirates have been favored in 29.3% of their games and have runline records of 8-11 and 14-8 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Pirates have an over/under record of just 19-21.

Heading into today’s action, the Tigers’ record of 18-21 has them sitting 3rd in the AL Central. Currently, they are 3.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 9-12 and 9-9, respectively. Detroit’s overall series record sits at 7-5.

  • The Tigers have covered the runline in 56.4% of their games and have an average run margin of -1.1
  • The Tigers have been favored in 2.6% of their games and have runline records of 10-8 and 12-9 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 39 games, the over has hit in half of the Tigers’ games at 19-19.

Pitching Matchup

In Luis L. Ortiz’s last outing, the Pirates lost by a score of 10-1 to the Rockies. In the game, he allowed five runs on seven hits over five innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Michael Lorenzen 5 5 28 1-2 4.18 1.21 3

 

Across five appearances, Michael Lorenzen has a slugging percentage allowed of .400 and enters with a WHIP of 1.21. His overall record is 1-2 on an ERA of 4.18. For the season, he has a total of 19 K’s, and is averaging 0.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Lorenzen’s record on the road is 0-2 and 1-0 at home. This includes an ERA of 3.43 (road) and 7.39 (home), respectively.

The last time Michael Lorenzen took the mound, the Tigers fell to the Guardians by a score of 2-0. Individually, Lorenzen took the loss while giving up one run across seven innings of work.

Pirates vs. Tigers Offense Outlook

The Pirates have played 41 games so far and are ranked 20th in the league with an average of 4.3 runs per game. Their home runs rank is 23rd (40), and their overall batting average stands at .241. This includes a BA of .239 on the road and .223 at home.

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Bryan Reynolds .293 .335 .500 23 5 6
Andrew McCutchen .246 .357 .466 18 7 4
Connor Joe .261 .356 .530 13 5 2


Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Andrew McCutchen .383 5 3 1 .633
Bryan Reynolds .267 5 2 0 .333
Ke’Bryan Hayes .117 2 2 0 .183
Connor Joe .050 1 1 1 .200
Tucupita Marcano .450 4 1 1 .950

 

In terms of home runs, the Detroit team ranks just 28th in the league with 31 home runs. When looking at their batting average, they are 24th in the league at .231. Currently, they are 29th in OPS at .648.

Detroit Tigers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Riley Greene .287 3 .417 .335
Spencer Torkelson .233 2 .336 .274
Javier Báez .229 1 .303 .258
Zach McKinstry .276 2 .402 .334
Matt Vierling .239 2 .364 .283


Detroit Tigers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Riley Greene .337 7 1 0 .437
Javier Báez .273 5 2 0 .340
Jake Rogers .150 2 2 1 .400
Andy Ibáñez .233 4 2 0 .350
Zach McKinstry .450 5 2 0 .450

 

Free MLB Pick

Luis Ortiz looked good in his first three career starts last season before being crushed by the Cards on the road in St. Louis. I have mixed opinions on his lone start this MLB season, where he was tagged for five runs (two earned) over five innings. The Tigers have been hitting well, for the most part, scoring five more runs in eight of their last 12 games. Three of the matches that they didn’t hit that number were against some pretty good arms, J. Verlander, S. Bieber, and a young hotshot, B. Miller. Detroit starter Michael Lorenzen has a bloated 5.73 home ERA but he’s only had two starts at Comerica Park this season, with the first a poor opener (4 IP, 6 ER) followed by a Quality Start (7 IP 1 ER). He was very good in front of the home crowd (LAA) last year, with a 2.77 ERA over nine starts going 6-2. Take the Tigers -113

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