Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers

by | Aug 26, 2018 | mlb

Chase Anderson Milwaukee Brewers starting versus the Cubs
[et_pb_dcsbcm_divi_breadcrumbs_module hide_homebreadcrumb=”off” homebreadcrumbtext=”Home” separator=”sep-raquo” hide_currentbreadcrumb=”off” homebreadcrumborientation=”left” _builder_version=”3.8″ fontsbreadcrumbs_font=”Lato||||||||” fontsbreadcrumbs_text_color=”#000000″ fontsbreadcrumbs_font_size=”15px” fontsbreadcrumbs_line_height=”16px” fontsseperator_font=”||||||||” fontsbreadcrumblinks_font=”||||||||” fontsbreadcrumblinks_text_color=”#2567cf” custom_margin=”25px|||” custom_margin_phone=”30px|||” custom_margin_last_edited=”off|desktop” custom_css_main_element=”font-family: Helvetica Regular;” global_module=”3641″ saved_tabs=”all”][/et_pb_dcsbcm_divi_breadcrumbs_module]

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 26, 2018 | mlb

Chase Anderson Milwaukee Brewers starting versus the Cubs

Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers 8/26/18
Time: 2:10 PM ET
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wis.
Listed Pitchers: Chris Archer (Pitt) & Chase Anderson (Mil)
TV: FS – Wisconsin, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Moneyline: Pirates +125/Brewers -135
Over/Under: 8.5

The Milwaukee Brewers, still trying to chase down what would be their first playoff appearance since 2011, meet up with the Pittsburgh Pirates for a rubber match Sunday in Brew City. How are we playing this game with our daily free MLB picks?

MLB Betting Line

Sunday’s MLB betting odds opened Milwaukee at around -140 over Pittsburgh, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. The early betting action then cut that spread down about a nickel, to approximately -135.

The Brewers could also be found getting upwards of +155 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.

Sunday Set-Up

These teams have split the first two games of this series, Milwaukee winning Friday 7-6 in 15 innings, the Pirates winning Saturday 9-1. The Brewers let a one-run lead slip in the top of the ninth Friday and later trailed 6-4 into the bottom of the 15th inning. But a three-run rally saved the day. Then Saturday’s game was tied at 1-1 into the top of the seventh when Pittsburgh scored eight runs over its last three at-bats against the Milwaukee bullpen.

Saturday’s victory snapped a four-game losing streak for the Pirates, who are also only 3-9 over their last 12 games.

With Saturday’s defeat, the Brewers are 4-2 over their last six contests.

At 72-59 overall Milwaukee now trails the division-leading Cubs by 4.5 games in the NL Central, but also sits in a three-way tie with Arizona and Colorado in the battle for the second National League wild-card slot.

Meanwhile, at 64-66 Pittsburgh lags 7.5 games behind the Brewers, D-Backs, and Rockies in that NL wild-card scrum.

The Pirates leads this season series nine games to three.

Sunday’s Starting Arms

Anderson (8-7, 3.92), by our strict standards, is 11/25 on quality starts this season, but only one for his last three. Monday he limited Cincinnati to two runs on two solo homers through six innings of a 5-2 Milwaukee win but in his two starts previous to that against San Diego and Atlanta he allowed eight runs over 8 2/3 innings. And over his last four outings, he’s been tagged for seven homers. On the season the Brewers are 13-12 with Anderson, with the totals skewing toward the unders by a 15-8 margin.

In two previous starts, this year against the Pirates Anderson allowed seven runs and 11 hits, including four dingers, through 10 2/3 innings. Milwaukee lost both those games.

Archer (4-6, 4.41) is just 6/21 on quality starts this season and 0 for four since joining Pittsburgh in that trade with Tampa Bay. Monday he held Atlanta to one run through four innings, before leaving the game with a sore leg, but over his last four starts, he’s allowed 10 runs and 23 hits through 18 1/3 innings. On the season the Rays went 9-8 with Archer, while Pittsburgh is 2-2. And overs are 13-8 in Archer’s starts.

In one start last year with Tampa against the Brewers Archer allowed one run and three hits through six frames of a 2-1 Rays victory.

For our handicapping purposes here we’re calling this pitching match-up a push.

Sunday’s Batting Splits

Pittsburgh goes .256/.320/.410 in the team batting average/OBP/slugging percentage splits against right-handed pitching this season.

Milwaukee goes .251/.318/.415 against RH pitching.

We’ll call the splits with the sticks here a push, too.

The Bullpens

The Pirates bullpen owns a 4.05 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP.

The Brewers pen owns a 3.82 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. But this unit has faltered since the All-Star break, and those figures are higher right now than they’ve been all season.

We’re calling the bullpen comparison a push, also.

Totals Report

Unders are 32-31 in games played at Miller Park this year, which are averaging 8.8 total runs per.

Overs are 6-5-1 in Pirates-Brewers games this season.

Free MLB Picks

Milwaukee is 15 games above .500, 57-42, against right-handed starters this season, Pittsburgh 48-43. But sometimes – often, actually – baseball betting should come down to value. And the value here, with our main handicapping factors calling this game basically a push, resides with the underdog Pirates. We’re betting Pittsburgh here, and hoping the Brewers bullpen gets involved.

<aside><div class="widget105"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><h4 class="baseball">Baseball Sportsbooks</h4><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><table id="dimeline"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <tr><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <th></th><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <th width="110px">10¢ to:</th><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <th width="110px">20¢ to:</th><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> </tr><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <tr><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <td><div class="col1"><a href="https://www.predictem.com/out/Sportsbetting"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <img src="https://www.predictem.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/SportsBettingDark.png" width="150" alt="SportsBetting" /></a><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> </div></td><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <td>-200</td><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <td>-279</td><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> </tr><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <tr><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <td><div class="col1"><a href="https://www.predictem.com/out/Betonline"><img src="https://www.predictem.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/betonline-xs.png" width="150" alt="BetOnline" /></a></div></td><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <td>-200</td><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <td>-270</td><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> </tr><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <tr><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <td><div class="col1"><a href="https://www.predictem.com/out/%Dimes"><img src="https://www.predictem.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/5Dimes_sm.png" width="150" alt="5Dimes" /></a></div></td><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <td>-195</td><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <td>-266</td><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> </tr><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --></table> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><div class="widget-footer"><a href="https://www.predictem.com/best-sportsbooks/mlb-dimeline/">See all Dimeline Sportsbooks</a></div><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> </div></aside><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><style><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> #dimeline {border: 0px;}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> #dimeline th{color:#000;}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> #dimeline td{padding: 2px; text-align: center;}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> #dimeline td, #dimeline th{padding: 8px 2px; text-align: center;border-bottom: 1px solid #bbb;}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> .img-hover {border: 1px solid #fff; padding:5px}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> .img-hover:hover {background: #edeef0; border: 1px solid #008156; margin-top:1px; padding:5px}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --></style>

100% Free Play up to $1,000 (Crypto Only)

BONUS CODE: PREDICTEM

BetOnline

Get Bonus!

MLB Baseball Picks

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We’ve got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!