Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers Total Pick

by | May 30, 2022 | mlb

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Monday, May 30th, 10:10 ET

Location: Dodger Stadium

TV: MLBN (out-of-market only)

Money Line: Pirates +225 / Dodgers -280 (Everygame - Check out their 200% bonus on your $25 deposit!)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Pittsburgh: Zach Thompson (2-4, 5.5)
Los Angeles: Walker Buehler (6-1, 2.91)

Pirates Projected Lineup

Rodolfo Castro SS
Jack Suwinski LF
Josh VanMeter 1B
Cal Mitchell RF
Ke’Bryan Hayes 3B
Michael Perez C
Bryan Reynolds CF
Michael Chavis 1B
Ben Gamel LF
Zach Thompson P

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Cody Bellinger CF
Chris Taylor LF
Edwin Ríos 1B
Mookie Betts RF
Justin Turner 3B
Gavin Lux 2B
Will Smith C
Trea Turner SS
Freddie Freeman 1B
Walker Buehler P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Pittsburgh Pirates: 19-27-0 SU / OU 16-24-6 / Run Line W/L 22-24-0
Los Angeles Dodgers: 33-14-0 SU / OU 21-24-2 / Run Line W/L 29-18-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday, May 30th at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-280), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

In Pittsburgh’s last game, they fell to San Diego by a score of 4-2. On their way to giving up 4 runs, the Pirates staff allowed 8 hits. With their 5 hits, the Pirates could only muster 2 runs. Pittsburgh’s loss came as the underdog, getting 155.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 7.0 runs. With this result, Pittsburgh’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 16-24-6.

The Pirates will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. Even with this record, their scoring differential during this time is 3. However, the team’s offense isn’t to blame, as they are averaging 4.0 runs per game compared to their season average of 3.37. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is just 4-8-3.

Los Angeles will look to keep things rolling in today’s game, as they most recently took down Diamondbacks by 2 runs 3-1. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 8 hits. With their 4 hits, the Dodgers could only muster 3 runs. Los Angeles picked up the win while being favored at -210.0. So far, the team has won 70.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Dodgers and the Diamondbacks combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Now, Los Angeles had an over-under record of 21-24-2.

Across their last 5 contests, the Dodgers are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at 17. Los Angeles is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 5.2 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 5.57. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 11-4-0.

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Pitching Matchup

Pittsburgh will roll with Zach Thompson (2-4) as their starter. To date, Thompson has an ERA of 5.5 while lasting an average of 3.79 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.275. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Thompson, averaging 1.32 homers per 9 innings pitched. Thompson is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.0 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 17.0%. Throughout the season, Thompson has avoided walking batters, allowing just 3.67 per contest.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send Walker Buehler to the mound with an overall record of 6-1. In his previous outings, Buehler is lasting an average of 5.8, putting together an ERA of just 2.91. Across his previous starts, opposing team’s have put together a batting average of 0.25. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Buehler, as he is allowing just 0.52 per 9 innings. Overall, he is averaging 4.66 strikeouts per game, on a K rate of 19.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.39 walks per contest.

Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles History

Today’s matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Los Angeles Dodgers will be their 3rd meeting of the season. Pittsburgh has the lead in the series at 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-2. The average run total in these games is 6.5 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 5.33 runs. Dating back to last season, Los Angeles won all 6 games between the teams. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 1-4-1. Last year, the Pirates and Dodgers averaged 6.5 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.83 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games on the road
  • Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
  • LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
  • LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

In a Memorial Day matchup between Pittsburgh and Los Angeles, look for runs to be hard to come by. Pirates starter Zach Thompson has been flying under the radar, despite throwing the ball well of late. And on the other side, I don’t see Pittsburgh mustering much offense vs Walker Buehler. I recommend taking the under at 8 runs.

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