Rangers vs. Astros Best Bet 8/11/22

by | Aug 11, 2022 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros

Date: Thursday August 11th, 02:10 ET

Location: Minute Maid Park

TV: YouTube

Money Line: Rangers +225 / Astros -280 (Bovada - Best sportsbook on the web! 50% bonus! Awesome live betting platform! Rebates on ALL your bets! Fast Bitcoin payouts!)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Texas: Cole Ragans (0-0, 0.0)
Houston: Framber Valdez (10-4, 2.87)

Rangers Projected Lineup

Ezequiel Duran 3B
Charlie Culberson 3B
Nate Lowe 1B
Leody Taveras CF
Adolis Garcia RF
Bubba Thompson LF
Jonah Heim C
Marcus Semien 2B
Corey Seager SS
Cole Ragans P

Astros Projected Lineup

Trey Mancini 1B
Christian Vázquez C
Kyle Tucker RF
Jeremy Peña SS
Alex Bregman 3B
Jake Meyers CF
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Framber Valdez P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Texas Rangers: 48-61-0 SU / OU 54-49-7 / Run Line W/L 63-47-0
Houston Astros: 71-40-0 SU / OU 41-68-3 / Run Line W/L 57-55-0

The Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers on Thursday August 11th at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-280), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Texas Rangers will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the Astros by a score of 8-4. For the game, Texas’s pitching staff allowed 4 runs on 8 hits. The Rangers lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 12 hits, leading to 8 runs. Texas picked up the win, despite getting 250.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Rangers and Astros combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.5 runs. Texas has had more than half of their games go over the over-under line (54-49-7).

The Rangers will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. However, they have still put together a positive run differential of +3 (last 5). In their last 5 contests, Texas is averaging 4.8 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.49. Texas’s overall series record is just 13-18-5.

Houston will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Rangers by the score of 8-4. Houston’s pitching staff gave up 12 hits, leading to 8 runs for the Rangers. The Astros offense ended the game with just 4 runs on 8 hits. Houston came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-300.0). So far, the team has won 66.0% of the games in which they were favored. The Astros and Rangers went over the run total line set at 7.5 runs. Against the run total, Houston is just 41-68-3.

In their last 5 contests, the Astros have just 2 wins, going 2-3. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of 0 over their last 5 games. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 4.2 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 4.44. On the season, Houston has won more than half of their series, going 22-11-4.

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Pitching Matchup

For the Rangers, starting pitcher Cole Ragans is making his 2nd appearance in the major leagues. In his first outing, Ragans went 5 innings without giving up a run. This performance included striking out 3 batters and allowing 3 hits. However, Ragans will look to reign in his command, as issued 4 walks.

The Houston Astros will send Framber Valdez to the mound with an overall record of 10-4. Through 21 appearances, Valdez has an ERA of just 2.87 while averaging 6.43 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.215. This year Valdez is allowing just 0.47 home runs per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Framber Valdez has a strong K% of 22.0%, including a per game average of 5.71. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.2 walks per outing.

Texas vs Houston History

Today’s matchup between the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros will be their 14th meeting of the season. Currently, Houston is winning the season series 9-4. Through 13 games, the series over-under record is 3-10, with the average run total sitting at 9.84 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.85 runs. Dating back to last season, Houston picked up 14 wins compared to 5, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 11-5, with the average run total being 9.84 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.58 runs per game.

More Picks: Texas at Houston 8/11/22 Recommended Bet

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas’s last 12 games when playing Houston
  • Houston is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Texas
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games when playing at home against Texas

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s matchup between Texas and Houston, the Astros are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. The last time Framber Valdez faced the Rangers, he gave up just 1 run across 6 innings. If rookie starter Cole Ragans once again struggles with walks, it could be a short outing for the young leftie. I like the Astros to cover the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Astros -1.5 Runline.

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