Rangers vs. Marlins Moneyline Pick 7/21/22

by | Last updated Jul 21, 2022 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thurday, July 21st, 01:10 ET

Location: LoanDepot Park

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Money Line: Rangers +105 / Marlins -125

Total Line: 7.0

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Texas: Jon Gray (6-4, 3.71)
Miami: Pablo López (6-4, 2.94)

Rangers Projected Lineup

Kole Calhoun LF
Brad Miller 3B
Nate Lowe 1B
Jonah Heim C
Adolis Garcia RF
Josh H. Smith 3B
Leody Taveras CF
Corey Seager SS
Marcus Semien 2B
Jon Gray P

Marlins Projected Lineup

Brian Anderson 3B
Miguel Rojas SS
Avisaíl García RF
Jesus Sanchez CF
Jacob Stallings C
Jorge Soler LF
Jesús Aguilar 1B
Joey Wendle 2B
Garrett Cooper 1B
Pablo López P


Texas Rangers: 41-49-0 SU / OU 42-42-6 / Run Line W/L 52-38-0
Miami Marlins: 43-48-0 SU / OU 42-44-5 / Run Line W/L 44-47-0

The Miami Marlins host the Texas Rangers on Thursday, July 21st at LoanDepot park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Miami as the favorite (-125), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The Rangers come into this matchup having suffered a 4 run loss to the Mariners (6-2). Texas’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 10 hits, leading to 6 runs. On offense, the Rangers finished with 2 runs on 7 hits. The loss came as Texas was the betting underdog, getting 115.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Rangers and Mariners stayed below the over-under line set at 9.0 runs. Texas once again has a .500 over-under betting record 42-42-6.

Over the Rangers’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 1-4. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -8. On offense, Texas’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 3.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Texas’s overall series record is just 11-15-3.

Miami will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Phillies by the score of 4-0. Even in the loss, the pitching staff allowed just 4 runs on 8 hits. The Marlins’ offense ended the game with 0 runs on 4 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Miami came into the game as the underdog, getting 115.0. In their 43 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 33.0%. With this result, the Marlins and Phillies combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.0 runs. Now, Miami had an over-under record of 42-44-5.

In their last 5 contests, the Marlins have just 2 wins, going 2-3. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -13 over their last 5 games. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 1.8 runs over their last 5 game. Miami has a below .500 series record of just 9-16-4.

Pitching Matchup

Texas will roll with Jon Gray (6-4) as their starter. To date, Gray has an ERA of 3.71 while lasting an average of 5.58 innings per appearance. Through 16 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.222. Gray is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.01 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Jon Gray has a strong strikeout percentage of 27.0%, including a per game average of 6.25. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.71 walks per outing.

The Miami Marlins will send Pablo López to the mound with an overall record of 6-4. Through 18 appearances, López has an ERA of just 2.94 while averaging 5.78 innings per appearance. Overall, opponents have a batting average of just 0.21 against the right-hander. Per 9 innings pitched, López is giving up 0.95 home runs. In terms of strikeouts, Pablo López has a strong K% of 24.0%, including a per game average of 5.61. Command has been a problem for López, as he is giving up 2.77 walks per outing.

Texas vs Miami History

Today’s matchup between the Texas Rangers and Miami Marlins will be their first meeting of the season.

Betting Trends

  • Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Texas’s last 12 games when playing Miami
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami’s last 12 games when playing Texas

Texas Rangers at Miami Marlins Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s Interleague matchup between Texas and Miami, the Marlins have the slight edge on the moneyline. Even though Pablo Lopez factored into just 1 decision, Miami has won 3 straight games with the right-hander on the mound. Over this stretch, he has given up just 4 earned runs. I see the Marlins picking up the win coming off the All-Star Break.

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