Rangers vs. Mets Moneyline Pick 7/3/22

by | Last updated Jul 3, 2022 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs New York Mets
Date: Sunday, July 3rd, 01:40 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: Bally Sports Southwest
Money Line: Rangers +122 / Mets -145 (Get the best lines >>>)
Total Line: 8.5


Texas: Jon Gray (4-3, 3.89)
New York: Carlos Carrasco (8-4, 4.74)

Rangers Projected Lineup

Nate Lowe 1B
Jonah Heim C
Kole Calhoun LF
Mitch Garver C
Adolis Garcia RF
Josh H. Smith 3B
Leody Taveras CF
Corey Seager SS
Marcus Semien 2B
Jon Gray P

Mets Projected Lineup

Mark Canha LF
Luis Guillorme 2B
Jeff McNeil 2B
Eduardo Escobar 3B
Starling Marte RF
James McCann C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Carlos Carrasco P


Texas Rangers: 37-39-0 SU / OU 33-37-6 / Run Line W/L 45-31-0
New York Mets: 48-30-0 SU / OU 40-32-6 / Run Line W/L 42-36-0

The New York Mets host the Texas Rangers on Sunday, July 3rd at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Texas Rangers will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the Mets by a score of 7-3. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Mets to 3 runs on 9 hits. The Rangers lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 10 hits, leading to 7 runs. Texas picked up the win, despite getting 115.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.0 runs. On the season, Texas’s over-under record is 33-37-6.

The Rangers are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +13. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 5.8 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.41. Texas’s overall series record is just 9-12-4.

New York will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Rangers by the score of 7-3. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 10 hits, leading to 7 runs. At the plate, the Mets only came through for 3 runs on 9 hits. New York dropped the game despite being favored at -135.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 57 games, winning at a rate of 68.0%. The Mets and Rangers went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 40-32-6.

In their last 5 contests, the Mets have just 1 win, going 1-4. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -14 over their last 5 games. If New York is going to pick up their play, they need to improve their offensive performance. Over their last 5 contests, they are averaging just 2.0 runs per game, compared to a season average of 4.78. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 17-5-3.

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Pitching Matchup

Texas will roll with Jon Gray (4-3) as their starter. To date, Gray has an ERA of 3.89 while lasting an average of 5.48 innings per appearance. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.221 against Gray. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.76 home runs allowed per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Jon Gray has a strong strikeout percentage of 26.0%, including a per-game average of 5.85. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.14 walks per outing.

Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Mets, with an overall record of 8-4. To date, Carrasco has an ERA of 4.74 while lasting an average of 5.41 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.27. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Carrasco, as he is allowing just 1.11 per 9 innings. Overall, Carlos Carrasco has struck out 23.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 5.4 K’s per game. Carrasco comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 2.31 free passes per outing.

Texas vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Texas Rangers and New York Mets will be their 3rd meeting of the season. So far, the teams have each won 1 time. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-1. The average run total in these games is nan runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.5 runs. Last year, the team’s split the season series at 0-0. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 0-0, with the average run total being nan runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was nan runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas’s last 5 games when playing NY Mets
  • Texas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets’s last 5 games when playing Texas
  • NY Mets is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

Texas Rangers at New York Mets Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s interleague matchup between Texas and New York, the Mets are the favorite to pick up the win. Even though Carlos Carrasco has taken the loss in 2 straight games, both outings came vs the Astros. I don’t expect the Rangers to give Carrasco as much of a problem. I like New York on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: Mets Moneyline

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