Rangers vs. Red Sox Runline Bet 9/2/22

by | Sep 2, 2022 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday September 2nd, 07:10 ET

Location: Fenway Park

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Money Line: Rangers +148 / Red Sox -180 (Be SMART! Bet on games at reduced juice!)

Total Line: 10.0

STARTING PITCHING

Texas: Dallas Keuchel (2-5, 8.16)
Boston: Nick Pivetta (9-10, 4.4)

Rangers Projected Lineup

Kole Calhoun RF
Mark Mathias 2B
Jonah Heim C
Adolis Garcia RF
Leody Taveras CF
Ezequiel Duran 3B
Nate Lowe 1B
Marcus Semien 2B
Corey Seager SS
Dallas Keuchel P

Red Sox Projected Lineup

Enrique Hern√°ndez CF
Bobby Dalbec 1B
Trevor Story 2B
Alex Verdugo RF
Rafael Devers 3B
Kevin Plawecki C
Xander Bogaerts SS
J.D. Martinez LF
Tommy Pham LF
Nick Pivetta P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Texas Rangers: 58-72-0 SU / OU 65-56-9 / Run Line W/L 73-57-0
Boston Red Sox: 64-68-0 SU / OU 62-62-8 / Run Line W/L 65-67-0

The Boston Red Sox host the Texas Rangers on Friday September 2nd at Fenway Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Boston as the favorite (-180), with an OU line set at 10.0.

Recent Form

The Rangers will look to rebound from a close, 9-8 loss to Boston. In the loss, Texas’s pitchers gave up 9 runs on 13 hits. On offense, the Rangers’ 13 hits and 8 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. The loss came as Texas was the betting underdog, getting 141.0 on the moneyline. With the over-under line set at 9.0 runs, the Rangers and Boston combined to go over this total. Texas has had more than half of their games go over the over-under line (65-56-9).

In their last 5 games, the Rangers are below .500, at 0-5. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -15. In their last 5 contests, Texas is averaging 4.6 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.55. Texas’s overall series record is just 15-22-6.

The Red Sox are coming off a tight 9-8 win over the Rangers. On their way to giving up 8 runs, the Red Sox staff allowed 13 hits. In the victory, the Red Sox came up with 13 hits and 9 runs. In the game, Boston was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -170.0. So far, the team has won 56% of the games in which they were favored. The Red Sox and Rangers went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. Now, the team’s over-under record is back to .500 (62-62-8).

In their last 5 contests, the Red Sox have just 2 wins, going 2-3. During this time, the team has a run differential of -13. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 5.2, similar to their season-long average of 4.53. Boston has a below .500 series record of just 18-20-5.

Pitching Matchup

Texas will roll with Dallas Keuchel (2-5) as their starter. So far, Keuchel has put together an ERA of 8.16. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.0 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the left-hander, with a batting average of 0.343. Home runs have been an issue for Keuchel, as he is allowing an average of 1.69 per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Keuchel has a strikeout percentage of just 12.0% and a per-game average of 2.5. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 5.62 walks per outing.

Boston will roll with Nick Pivetta (9-10) as their starter. So far, Pivetta has put together an ERA of 4.4. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.66 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.248. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Pivetta, averaging 1.22 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Nick Pivetta has a strong K% of 23.0%, including a per-game average of 5.5. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.3 walks per outing.

Texas vs Boston History

For the season, the Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox will be playing their 5th game of the season. Currently, Boston is winning the season series 3-1. Through 4 games, the series over-under record is 2-0, with the average run total sitting at 9.0 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 5.25 runs. Going back to last year, Texas won the season series, 4 games to 3. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 3-4. Last year, the Rangers and Red Sox averaged 9.0 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.43 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas’s last 7 games
  • Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 7 games

Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox Prediction

Leading into Friday’s matchup between Boston and Texas, the Red Sox are the strong favorite on the moneyline. Look for Boston to come away with another win over the Rangers, as Dallas Keuchel has given up 7 earned runs in each of his last 2 starts. I like the Red Sox to cover the runline.

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