Rays vs. Yankees Best Bet 6/16/22

by | Jun 16, 2022 | mlb

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
Date: Thursday, June 16th, 07:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: Bally Sports Sun
Money Line: Rays +157 / Yankees -171 (Best Bonus)
Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Tampa Bay: Jalen Beeks (1-1, 1.38) New York: Luis Severino (4-1, 2.8)

Rays Projected Lineup

Francisco Mejía C Brett Phillips RF Kevin Kiermaier CF Taylor Walls SS Yandy Díaz 3B Vidal Brujan SS Ji-Man Choi 1B Randy Arozarena LF Manuel Margot RF Jalen Beeks P

Yankees Projected Lineup

Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS Jose Trevino C Josh Donaldson 3B Aaron Hicks LF Joey Gallo RF Anthony Rizzo 1B Giancarlo Stanton RF DJ LeMahieu 3B Aaron Judge CF Luis Severino P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Tampa Bay Rays: 35-27-0 SU / OU 27-32-3 / Run Line W/L 30-32-0 New York Yankees: 46-16-0 SU / OU 28-33-1 / Run Line W/L 33-29-0

The New York Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday, June 16th at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-171), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

After suffering a 1-run loss to the Yankees (4-3), the Rays will look to get back in the win column. On their way to giving up 4 runs, the Rays staff allowed 3 hits. On offense, the Rays finished with 3 runs on 7 hits. The loss came as Tampa Bay was the betting underdog, getting 120.0 on the moneyline. With the over-under line set at 6.5 runs, the Rays and Yankees combined to go over this total. The Rays now have an over-under record of 27-32-3.

Over the Rays’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 1-4. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -3. A key reason for Tampa Bay’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 3.6 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.16. So far, Tampa Bay has won over half of their 20 series played, going 10-8-2.

The Yankees will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Rays by a score of 4-3. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Rays to 3 runs and 7 hits. At the plate, the Yankees only came through for 4 runs on 3 hits. New York picked up the win while being favored at -140.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 58 games, winning at a rate of 74.0%. The Yankees and Rays went over the run total line set at 6.5 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 28-33-1.

Over their last 5 games, the Yankees have not lost a game, going 5-0. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +26. Overall, the Yankees are averaging 5.05 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 6.8 runs per contest. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 16-2-2.

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Pitching Matchup

Jalen Beeks gets the start for the Rays, with an overall record of 1-1. Through 16 appearances, Beeks has an ERA of just 1.38 while averaging 1.62 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.196 against him. Per 9 innings pitched, Beeks is averaging 1.04 home runs allowed. Up to this point, Beeks has a strikeout percentage of just 32.0% and a per game average of 2.0. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.77 walks per contest.

In today’s game, New York turns to starter Luis Severino. For the year, he has a record of 4-1. Currently, Severino has a strong ERA of just 2.8 while pitching an average of 5.55 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.213 against him. This year, home runs have been an issue for Severino. So far, he has allowed 1.18 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Luis Severino has a strong K% of 28.9%, including a per game average of 6.45. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.21 walks per contest.

Tampa Bay vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees will be their 7th meeting of the season. Currently, New York is winning the season series 4-2. Through 6 games, the series’ over-under record is 2-4, with the average run total sitting at 7.79 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.33 runs. Last season, Tampa Bay picked up the series win, 11 games to 8. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 9-10. Last year, the Rays and Yankees averaged 7.79 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.0 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get Dan’s Side & Total Picks for tonight’s TEX/DET game >>>

Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
  • NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Prediction

In Thursday’s matchup between Tampa Bay and New York, the Rays will be looking for a big performance out of Jalen Beeks. So far, the lefty has exclusively worked out of the bullpen. Look for the Yankees to pick up another convincing win, as Luis Severino has a WHIP of just 1.03.

Free MLB Pick: Yankees - 1.5 Runline

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