Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Stats, Free Pick | April 19/24

by | Last updated Apr 19, 2024 | mlb

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Date: Friday, April 19th, 7:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
Money Line: Rays +132/Yankees -158
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Rays on Friday, April 19th at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TB +132 +1.5 O 9 (-102)
NYY -158 -1.5 U 9 (-119)

At 7:05 PM ET, the Rays and Yankees will face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York and features a Rays club that is 11-9 compared to the Yankees at 13-6. Tampa Bay will be sending Tyler Alexander to the mound vs. Clarke Schmidt for the Yankees.

New York comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -158, and the over/under line is sitting at 9 runs. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by BSSUN.

Rays vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Yandy Díaz 1 1B
Randy Arozarena 2 LF
Richie Palacios 3 RF
Isaac Paredes 4 3B
Harold Ramírez 5 DH
Curtis Mead 6 2B
José Caballero 7 SS
Jose Siri 8 CF
Ben Rortvedt 9 C
Tyler Alexander SP

Player Batting Order Position
Anthony Volpe 1 SS
Juan Soto 2 RF
Aaron Judge 3 CF
Giancarlo Stanton 4 DH
Anthony Rizzo 5 1B
Gleyber Torres 6 2B
Alex Verdugo 7 LF
Jose Trevino 8 C
Oswaldo Cabrera 9 3B
Clarke Schmidt SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Tampa Bay Rays: 11-9 SU / OU 12-8 / Runline 7-13
New York Yankees: 13-6 SU / OU 7-11 / Runline 10-9

Rays Records & Recent Play

The Rays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 2-1 win. Tampa Bay scored both of their runs in the 1st inning and then didn’t score again the rest of the game. Heading into the game, the Rays were the heavy favorite at -149.

Ryan Pepiot put together a good start for the Rays, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only three hits and issued just one walk. Tampa Bay’s bullpen closed things out, and Colin Poche picked up the save.

The Rays are currently on the road and will be taking on the Yankees today. The Rays come into the game with an 11-9 record and are 2.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they have gone just 2-2 against other teams in the division.

At home, the Rays have been just above .500 at 7-7, and they are above .500 on the road at 4-2. Tampa Bay is on a two-game winning streak on the road right now. As the favorite this season, the Rays are 10-8 straight up, and they are 1-1 as the underdog.

The Tampa Bay Rays have been a poor bet on the run line this season, going just 7-13 overall. They have been especially bad at home, going just 4-10 against the run line. However, they have been much better on the road, going 3-3 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run differential of -0.8 runs per game this season.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is right in line with the Rays’ season average of 9.2 runs per game. The Rays have played 20 games this season, and 12 have gone over the total. The over has hit in three of the four games in which the over/under line was set at 9 runs.

Yankees Records & Recent Play

The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, closing out their series with a 6-4 win. After allowing two runs to the Blue Jays in the 2nd inning, the Yankees responded with a run of their own and added another in the 5th. New York went on to score four more runs in the 9th inning, putting things out of reach. Heading into the game, the Yankees were the slight underdog at -103.

Marcus Stroman put together a good start for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. New York’s offense was carried by Juan Soto, who went 3/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Yankees come into today’s game vs. the Rays with a record of 13-6, good for 1st place in the AL East. They hold a half-game lead over the Orioles heading into today’s game. This season, the Yankees have a series record of 5-1.

So far, the Yankees have been good on the road, putting together a record of 9-4. At home, they are just above .500 at 4-2. New York is coming off a series win over the Blue Jays and, before that, dropped two straight series.

When betting on the Yankees’ run line, it’s been better to take them on the road, where they are 8-5 against the run line compared to just 2-4 at home. They have an average run margin of 1.3 runs per game at home and 0.9 runs per game on the road. They are 3-8 against the run line as the favorite and 7-1 as the underdog.

When the New York Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 7-11. Their games have gone over the line in two straight games, and their games have gone over the line in 10.5% of their games this season. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 0-3-1.

Pitching Matchup

Tyler Alexander will be making his first start of the season for the Rays, as he has been used out of the bullpen in his first two appearances. He did pick up a win in his last outing, going 6 innings and giving up 2 earned runs on 6 hits. He has 4 strikeouts in 6 innings of work.

Clarke Schmidt will be making his first start of the season at home against the Rays. He has been solid in his first three starts of the year, going 5 innings in each of his first two outings and picking up a win in his last start, going 5 innings and allowing 2 runs on 3 hits.

Rays vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

Looking at the Rays’ player projections for today, Yandy Díaz is not only our top projected hitter in terms of total hits for the team, but his hits projection is 11th best in the league today. Isaac Paredes is our top projected home run hitter for the Rays, and his home run projection is 8th best in today’s slate of games. Harold Ramírez has the 17th best total hits projection in the league today, and his home run projection is 19th best. Richie Palacios has the 20th best total hits projection in the league, and his home run projection is 9th best.

For the Yankees, we have Aaron Judge with the highest home run projection on the team and the 5th best in the league today. Giancarlo Stanton is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projections and 6th in the league. Juan Soto is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, while Anthony Volpe is 2nd in terms of total hits on the team.

Free Rays vs. Yankees MLB Pick

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Rays matchup is that the Yankees will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the money line payout for a Yankees win sitting at -158, this is the bet we recommend making.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Clarke Schmidt finishing with seven strikeouts, which would have him finishing fifth among all starters today. As for Tyler Alexander, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which would have him right in the middle of the pack.

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