Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Expert Pick for July 1

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Saturday, July 1st, 3:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: SNET
Money Line: Red Sox +132/Blue Jays -157
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Red Sox on Saturday, July 1st at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Rob Refsnyder	1	RF
Justin Turner	2	DH
Alex Verdugo	3	LF
Rafael Devers	4	3B
Masataka Yoshida	5	LF
Enrique Hernández	6	SS
Christian Arroyo	7	2B
Connor Wong	8	C
Adam Duvall	9	CF
Kutter Crawford	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
George Springer	1	CF
Bo Bichette	2	SS
Brandon Belt	3	1B
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4	1B
Matt Chapman	5	3B
Whit Merrifield	6	2B
Daulton Varsho	7	RF
Danny Jansen	8	C
Kevin Kiermaier	9	CF
Yusei Kikuchi	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Boston Red Sox: 41-42 SU / OU 44-38 / Runline 41-42
Toronto Blue Jays: 45-38 SU / OU 37-43 / Runline 37-46

For the season, the Red Sox have put together a record of 41-42, including going just 3-7 over their last ten games. In the AL East standings, they are 5th, trailing by 15 games. This year, they have gone 21-21 at home and 20-21 on the road with an overall series mark of 13-11-3.

• The Red Sox have covered the runline in 49.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
• The Red Sox have been favored in 43.4% of their games and have runline records of 19-23 and 22-19 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 54% of the Red Sox’s 83 games at 44-38.

The Blue Jays head into today’s game vs. the Red Sox with an overall record of 45-38. This mark has them sitting 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 11 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 22-22 and 23-16, respectively. Toronto’s overall series record sits at 16-10.

• The Blue Jays have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.3.
• The Blue Jays have been favored in 71.1% of their games and have runline records of 16-23 and 21-23 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 37-43.

Pitching Matchup




Across 15 appearances, Kutter Crawford has a slugging percentage allowed of .405 and enters with a WHIP of 1.14. His overall record is 2-4 on an ERA of 4.01. For the season, he has a total of 50 K’s, and is averaging 1.0 strikeouts per nine innings. Crawford’s record on the road is 2-3 and 0-1 at home. This includes an ERA of 2.66 (road) and 6.21 (home), respectively.

Crawford is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs and five hits in six innings of action. Boston lost the game by a score of 4-1 to the White Sox.




Starter Yusei Kikuchi comes in with an overall record of 7-2 for the Blue Jays. Having made 16 appearances, his ERA is 3.75 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.27 and an OBP of .290.

Kikuchi picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up one earned run and two hits across seven innings vs. the Athletics. The Blue Jays won the game by a score of 12-1.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

The Red Sox have played 84 games and currently hold the 8th spot in the league with an average of 4.8 runs per game. With 87 home runs, Boston is 16th in the league. The team’s batting average, including .224 on the road and .274 at home, is .258.

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters On The Road




Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games




With an average of 4.4 runs per game, Toronto is 13th in the league for runs scored this season. They have hit a combined total of 90 home runs, putting them 14th in the league. Their current batting average of .261 is 5th in baseball. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 3rd, compared to 10th when playing at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Bats




Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

Jays starter Yusei Kikuchi has been pitching well in June with a 2.28 ERA over his last 27.2 innings.

Toronto is playing good baseball at 6-3 over their last nine games and is in a comfortable position with Saturday’s contest being their 8th in a row at home.

Red Sox starter Kutter Crawford is a pitcher that I once thought had good upside, but has been nothing but inconsistent. Three out of his last four starts have been poor.

More importantly, the BoSox are just 2-7 in their last nine games and are last in the league with just 13 runs scored over their last six games. Not only are they not hitting, they’re not being issued many free passes, as they’ve only walked eleven times in their last six games. It’s tough to chalk up wins without baserunners!