Red Sox vs. Padres Betting Preview & Pick 5/21/23

Boston Red Sox vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Sunday, May 21st, 4:10 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: BSSD
Money Line: Red Sox +124/Padres -145
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Red Sox on Sunday, May 21st at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Red Sox vs. Padres Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Alex Verdugo	1	LF
Masataka Yoshida	2	LF
Justin Turner	3	DH
Rafael Devers	4	3B
Jarren Duran	5	CF
Triston Casas	6	1B
Enrique Hernández	7	SS
Enmanuel Valdez	8	2B
Connor Wong	9	C
Corey Kluber	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Fernando Tatis Jr.	1	RF
Jake Cronenworth	2	2B
Juan Soto	3	RF
Xander Bogaerts	4	SS
Matt Carpenter	5	DH
Ha-Seong Kim	6	SS
Rougned Odor	7	2B
Trent Grisham	8	CF
Brett Sullivan	9	C
Michael Wacha	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Boston Red Sox: 26-20 SU / OU 30-15 / Runline 26-20
San Diego Padres: 20-26 SU / OU 14-30 / Runline 20-26

On a record of 26-20, the Red Sox are 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 7.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Padres, they will be seeking their 5th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 11-9 while going 15-11 at home. Boston’s overall series record is 9-4.

• The Red Sox have covered the runline in four straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
• The Red Sox have been favored in 37.0% of their games and have runline records of 13-13 and 13-7 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 67% of the Red Sox’s 46 games at 30-15.

Heading into their game vs. the Red Sox, the Padres have a record of 20-26 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL West, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 4-8. At home, they have gone 11-15 and 9-11 on the road.

• The Padres have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.3.
• The Padres have been favored in 63.0% of their games and have runline records of 10-16 and 10-10 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 14-30.

Pitching Matchup




Heading into his 9th outing of the season, Corey Kluber has given up at least one home-run every time he has taken the mound. Currently, his ERA stands at 6.41, with a record of 2-5. His strikeout to walk ratio sits at 33/15, and he comes into the game with a WHIP of 1.48. Opponents have put together a batting average of .265 against him this season.

Corey Kluber is coming off an outing against the Cardinals in which he allowed four runs on seven hits in five innings of work, taking the loss. The Red Sox lost the game by a score of 9-1.




San Diego will be counting on another good start from Michael Wacha, as he has picked up a win in two straight games. Wacha comes in with an ERA of 4.06 and a record of 4-1. For the season, he has racked up 41 strikeouts and has a batting average allowed of .229. Opponents have a slugging percentage of .406 vs. Wacha.

San Diego is hoping that Michael Wacha can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Royals (4-0) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with zero earned runs on one hit across seven innings.

Red Sox vs. Padres Offense Outlook

For the season, the Red Sox are one of the top home runs hitting teams in the league with a total of 58 home runs (10th). So far, Boston is averaging 5.6 runs per game with a collective batting average of .269. When playing at home, the Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .396 compared to .477 at home.

Boston Red Sox Top Bats




Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games




The Padres have played 46 games so far and are ranked 27th in the league with an average of 3.8 runs per game. Their home runs rank is 18th (49) and their overall batting average stands at .223. This includes a BA of .198 on the road and .233 at home.

San Diego Padres Team Hitting Stats




San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Red Sox are firing on all cylinders outscoring their opponents by 31-10 in their last four games. The scoring numbers on the defensive side may change today with Corey Kluber on the mound. Kluber has been a disaster in day games, going 0-3 with a 6.92 ERA, and his back numbers against the San Diego roster are mediocre, and he might be exactly what the Padres need to get their offense going. On the mound for the home side is Michael Wacha, who has been ultra-sharp in his last three with a 0.63 WHIP and 0.47 ERA. That said, his historical numbers are extremely poor against the Red Sox lineup, allowing a .321 batting average and .859 slugging percentage in 56 at-bats. I think that to total has some legs today. Take the Over 9.