Red Sox vs. Twins Free Total Pick for June 21

by | Last updated Jun 21, 2023 | mlb

Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Wednesday, June 21st, 7:40 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: BSN
Money Line: Red Sox +112/Twins -132 (Odds cost less at BetAnySports!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Red Sox on Wednesday, June 21st at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
BOS +112 +1.5 O 8.5 (-104)
MIN -132 -1.5 U 8.5 (-116)

Red Sox vs. Twins Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Alex Verdugo 1 LF
Masataka Yoshida 2 LF
Justin Turner 3 DH
Rafael Devers 4 3B
Adam Duvall 5 CF
Triston Casas 6 1B
Christian Arroyo 7 2B
Connor Wong 8 C
Enrique Hernández 9 SS
Garrett Whitlock SP

 

Batting Order Position
Edouard Julien 1 2B
Carlos Correa 2 SS
Byron Buxton 3 DH
Alex Kirilloff 4 1B
Donovan Solano 5 SS
Royce Lewis 6 SS
Max Kepler 7 RF
Christian Vázquez 8 C
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Sonny Gray SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Boston Red Sox: 39-35 SU / OU 41-32 / Runline 38-36
Minnesota Twins: 36-38 SU / OU 32-37 / Runline 37-37

As they take on the Twins, the Red Sox have an overall record of 39-35 and are currently last in the AL East. However, they have rattled off six straight wins. At home, Boston has a mark of 21-18 compared to 18-17 on the road. Their series record sits at 13-9-1.

 

  • The Red Sox have covered the runline in six straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
  • The Red Sox have been favored in 41.9% of their games and have runline records of 19-20 and 19-16 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 56% of the Red Sox’s 74 games at 41-32.

Against the Red Sox, the Twins are looking to shake a three-game losing streak. Yet, their record of 36-38 is stil good for 1st in the AL Central. At home, Minnesota has gone 21-19 and 15-19 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 10-11-2.

 

  • The Twins have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.3.
  • The Twins have been favored in 62.2% of their games and have runline records of 17-23 and 20-14 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 32-37.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Garrett Whitlock 7 7 39 4-2 4.38 1.23 6

 

As he prepares to take on the Twins, Boston starter Garrett Whitlock has recorded a quality start in each of his last two outings. Overall, he has made seven trips to the mound and has a recorded of 4-2 and ERA of 4.38. For the season, opponents have a batting average of .272 against him, including an OPS of .758. Whitlock’s strikeout total currently sits at 33 while issuing seven this year.

Whitlock picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up two earned runs and six hits across seven innings vs. the Rockies. The Red Sox won the game by a score of 6-3.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Sonny Gray 14 14 76 4-1 2.37 1.28 1

 

Starter Sonny Gray comes in with an overall record of 4-1 for the Twins. Having made 14 appearances, his ERA is 2.37 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.56 and an OBP of .299.

In Sonny Gray’s last game, he threw four innings for the Twins. While allowing two runs on three hits, he took a no-decision. The team lost the game to the Tigers with a score of 8-4.

Red Sox vs. Twins Offense Outlook

Currently, Boston is ranked 6th in the league for runs scored, with an average of 5.2 runs per game. They have hit a total of 80 home runs, which puts them 15th in baseball. The team’s current batting average of .265 is ranked 3rd in the league. Their batting average is 20th on the road and 1st at home.

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Alex Verdugo .311 5 .500 .375
Masataka Yoshida .301 6 .484 .360
Justin Turner .267 5 .387 .318
Rafael Devers .238 12 .476 .329
Jarren Duran .300 3 .480 .362

 

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Justin Turner .383 8 7 2 .770
Alex Verdugo .475 12 7 0 .758
Masataka Yoshida .463 8 5 1 .863
Triston Casas .353 7 4 1 .590
Christian Arroyo .208 6 4 1 .383

 

Offensively, the Twins, come into the game ranked 17th in the league with an average of 4.3 runs per game. In the home run category, Minnesota is ranked 8th, with 94 deep shots. When it comes to batting average, they have collectively hit .231. This mark includes hitting .212 on the road and .235 at home.

Minnesota Twins Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Twins 74 4.3 (17th) 94 (8th) .231 (21st) .310 (18th) .310 (18th)

 

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Christian Vázquez .250 3 1 1 .583
Royce Lewis .312 4 2 1 .500
Byron Buxton .133 2 1 1 .333
Willi Castro .400 4 3 0 .467
Alex Kirilloff .217 3 1 1 .367

 

Free MLB Pick

The Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins go at it Wednesday at Target field where oddsmakers have made the Twins a short -130 favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Get our Bos/Min prediction here!

Pick: Garrett Whitlock is one of the best right handed pitchers in MLB that most baseball bettors don’t know about. He’s spent a lot of time injured, but is starting to look like the prospect he was touted to be.

Twins starter Sonny Gray is a name we’re all familiar with. What you may not be aware of is his home ERA is 1.96 in 46 innings this season.

I’m forecasting 5 runs or less to be scored Wednesday at Target Field. I’m betting UNDER 8.5 -120 and expect this line to drop throughout the day. Bet your MLB picks for FREE this week by scoring a 125% bonus up to $400 AND get a free half point everytime you bet your favorite college/pro football team! Simply enter bonus code PREDICTEM at GTBets Sportsbook!

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!