Reds at Marlins Moneyline Pick 5/14/23

by | Last updated May 14, 2023 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Sunday, May 14th, 1:40 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Reds +139/Marlins -165
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Reds on Sunday, May 14th at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CIN +139 +1.5 O 8.5 (-112)
MIA -165 -1.5 U 8.5 (-108)

Reds vs. Marlins Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Jonathan India 1 2B
Spencer Steer 2 3B
Stuart Fairchild 3 RF
Tyler Stephenson 4 C
Henry Ramos 5 RF
Kevin Newman 6 SS
Nick Senzel 7 CF
Jose Barrero 8 SS
Curt Casali 9 C
Luke Weaver SP


Batting Order Position
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1 CF
Jorge Soler 2 DH
Yuli Gurriel 3 1B
Luis Arraez 4 2B
Bryan De La Cruz 5 CF
Jean Segura 6 SS
Garrett Hampson 7 SS
Jacob Stallings 8 C
Jon Berti 9 3B
Braxton Garrett SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cincinnati Reds: 18-21 SU / OU 21-18 / Runline 24-15
Miami Marlins: 19-21 SU / OU 18-20 / Runline 14-26

On a record of 18-21, the Reds are 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Against the Marlins, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 6-12 while going 12-9 at home. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 4-6.

  • The Reds have covered the runline in five straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.7.
  • The Reds have been favored in 28.2% of their games and have runline records of 13-8 and 11-7 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 54% of the Reds’ 39 games at 21-18.

Heading into their game vs. the Reds, the Marlins have a record of 19-21 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 7-5. At home, they have gone 10-11 and 9-10 on the road.

  • The Marlins have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -1.4.
  • The Marlins have been favored in 37.5% of their games and have runline records of 6-15 and 8-11 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 18-20.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Luke Weaver 4 4 22 1-2 7.36 1.46 8


Luke Weaver heads into the game with an overall record of 1-2 and an ERA of 7.36. In his two appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 7.15 and record of 0-2. At home, he has put together a mark of 1-0 and ERA of 7.76. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.46, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .284. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .625.

Cincinnati is hoping that Luke Weaver can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Mets (7-6) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with four earned runs on four hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Braxton Garrett 7 6 31 1-2 5.97 1.64 6


The Marlins will turn to starter Braxton Garrett who has an overall record of 1-2. Through seven appearances his ERA stands at 5.97 with a K/9 figure of 0.9. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.65 to go along with an OBP of .363.

After a loss against the Diamondbacks, Braxton Garrett is coming off a performance where he gave up four runs on seven hits over 5 1/3 innings.

Reds vs. Marlins Offense Outlook

Cincinnati has hit 32 home runs so far this season, ranking just 26th in the league. Their batting average of .246 is 14th in the league, while their OPS ranks 24th on the road and 17th at home.

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Jonathan India .257 0 .284 .279
TJ Friedl .339 0 .375 .328
Spencer Steer .232 2 .420 .302
Tyler Stephenson .246 1 .354 .308
Jake Fraley .288 4 .558 .408


Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jake Fraley .367 7 6 3 .883
Jonathan India .283 5 3 0 .400
Spencer Steer .150 3 1 1 .400
Tyler Stephenson .280 6 2 1 .400
Nick Senzel .246 4 2 0 .442


The Marlins have played 40 games and have an average of 3.4 runs per game, which puts them 28th in the league. Miami has hit 37 home runs (24th). Their batting average comes in at .246, while hitting .233 on the road and .251 at home.

Miami Marlins Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Luis Arraez .388 1 .500 .409
Jazz Chisholm Jr. .257 6 .451 .331
Bryan De La Cruz .235 2 .347 .274
Jorge Soler .206 4 .383 .281
Jon Berti .224 1 .306 .263


Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jazz Chisholm Jr. .297 5 5 2 .617
Jorge Soler .383 7 5 2 .683
Jesús Sánchez .333 6 1 1 .767
Bryan De La Cruz .283 5 4 1 .533
Peyton Burdick .250 4 2 1 .562


Free MLB Pick

Take the Reds +143

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