Reds vs. Giants Recommended Bet

by | Jun 24, 2022 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants
Date: Friday, June 24th, 10:15 ET
Location: Oracle Park
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Money Line: Reds +183 / Giants -199 (Bovada)
Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Cincinnati: Graham Ashcraft (3-1, 3.51) San Francisco: Alex Cobb (3-2, 5.62)

Reds Projected Lineup

Nick Senzel CF Albert Almora Jr. RF Kyle Farmer SS Mike Moustakas 3B Brandon Drury 3B Aramis Garcia C Tommy Pham LF Joey Votto 1B Jonathan India 2B Graham Ashcraft P

Giants Projected Lineup

Tommy La Stella 1B Brandon Crawford SS Brandon Belt 1B Luis Gonzalez P Thairo Estrada SS Evan Longoria 3B Curt Casali C Joc Pederson LF Mike Yastrzemski RF Alex Cobb P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Cincinnati Reds: 23-46-0 SU / OU 38-30-1 / Run Line W/L 30-39-0 San Francisco Giants: 38-31-0 SU / OU 33-32-4 / Run Line W/L 36-33-0

The San Francisco Giants host the Cincinnati Reds on Friday, June 24th at Oracle Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Francisco as the favorite (-165), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Reds will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Dodgers by the score of 10-5. On their way to giving up 10 runs, the Reds staff allowed 16 hits. The Reds ended the game with 13 hits of their own, leading to 5 runs. Cincinnati’s loss came as the underdog, getting 195.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Reds and Dodgers combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 9.0 runs. Cincinnati has had more than half of their games go over the over-under line (38-30-1).

In their last 5 games, the Reds are below .500, at 0-5. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -22. A key reason for Cincinnati’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 3.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.32. Cincinnati’s overall series record is just 5-12-5.

The Giants will look to bounce back from a tight 7-6 loss to the Braves. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 10 hits, leading to 7 runs. At the plate, the Giants scored 6 times on 14 hits. Leading into San Francisco’s loss, they were the underdogs, getting 125.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 16 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 38.0%. The Giants and Braves went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 33-32-4.

In their last 5 contests, the Giants have just 1 win, going 1-4. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -2 over their last 5 games. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 5.0. similar to their season-long average of 4.90. On the season, San Francisco has won more than half of their series, going 12-8-3.

Pitching Matchup

Graham Ashcraft gets the start for the Reds, with an overall record of 3-1. To date, Ashcraft has an ERA of 3.51 while lasting an average of 5.52 innings per appearance. So far, Ashcraft has a batting average allowed of 0.241. This season, Ashcraft has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.82 per 9 innings. Ashcraft has had trouble generating strikeouts, averaging just 3.17 K’s per game on a K rate of 13.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.89 walks per contest.

San Francisco will roll with Alex Cobb (3-2) as their starter. Cobb gets the start with an ERA of 5.62. On average, he has lasted 4.58 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.287. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Cobb, as he is allowing just 1.09 per 9 innings. Cobb’s current strikeout average is 5.44 per game. This includes a K rate of 27.0%. Cobb has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 2.81 per contest.

Cincinnati vs San Francisco History

For the season, the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants will be playing their 4th game of the season. So far, Cincinnati is leading the season series, 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-2. The average run total in these games is 8.71 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.33 runs. San Francisco won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 6 wins to 1. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 3-4, with the average run total being 8.71 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.43 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games
  • San Francisco is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants Prediction

Heading into Friday’s National League matchup between Cincinnati and San Francisco, the Giants are the heavy favorite over the struggling Reds. After starting the season well, Graham Ashcraft has struggled in his past 2 outings. Look for the Giants to pick up a convincing win at home.

Free MLB Pick: Giants -1.5 Runline

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