Rockies vs. Dodgers Value Pick

by | Oct 3, 2022 | mlb

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Monday October 3rd, 10:10 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: SportsNet LA
Money Line: Rockies +275 / Dodgers -350
Total Line: 8

STARTING PITCHING

Colorado: José Ureña (3-8, 5.24) Los Angeles: Tony Gonsolin (16-1, 2.1)

Rockies Projected Lineup

Michael Toglia 1B Elias Díaz C Brendan Rodgers 2B José Iglesias SS Ryan McMahon 3B Ezequiel Tovar SS C.J. Cron 1B Randal Grichuk RF Yonathan Daza CF José Ureña P

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Chris Taylor LF Cody Bellinger CF Max Muncy 3B Mookie Betts RF Justin Turner 3B Gavin Lux 2B Will Smith C Freddie Freeman 1B Trea Turner SS Tony Gonsolin P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Colorado Rockies: 65-93-0 SU / OU 75-77-7 / Run Line W/L 83-76-0 Los Angeles Dodgers: 110-48-0 SU / OU 67-80-12 / Run Line W/L 96-63-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Colorado Rockies on Monday October 3rd at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (OFF), with an OU line set at OFF.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, Colorado picked up a 3 run win over the LA Dodgers (4-1). Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the LA Dodgers to 1 run on 3 hits. The Rockies benefited from an offense that generated 4 runs on 10 hits. Colorado picked up the win, despite getting 220.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.0 runs. This outcome pushed Colorado’s over-under record further below .500 at 75-77-7.

After their 5 most recent games, the Rockies have gone just 1-4. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -13. On offense, Colorado’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 3.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Colorado’s overall series record is just 19-26-5.

Los Angeles is coming off a 3 run loss to the Rockies. Dropping the game 4-1. For the game, the pitching staff held the Rockies to 4 runs on 10 hits. The Dodgers offense ended the game with just 1 run on 3 hits. Los Angeles, dropped the game despite being favored at -270.0. So far, the team has won 70.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Dodgers and Rockies’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 67-80-12.

In their last 5 games, the Dodgers have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +12 (last 5). Los Angeles has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.6 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 5.27. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 38-10-2.

Pitching Matchup

For the Rockies, starting pitcher José Ureña has put together an overall record of 3-8. This has come on an ERA of 5.24. Across his 16 appearances, Urena has given up a total of 10 home runs and has a batting average allowed of .293.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send Tony Gonsolin to the mound with an overall record of 16-1. Currently, Gonsolin has a strong ERA of just 2.1 while pitching an average of 5.57 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.169 against him. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.77 home runs allowed per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Tony Gonsolin has a strong K% of 24.0%, including a per-game average of 5.04. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.45 walks per outing.

Colorado vs Los Angeles History

For the season, the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers will be playing their 17th game of the season. Los Angeles holds the edge in the series at 10-6. The over-under record in this series sits at 5-9. The average run total in these games is 9.63 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.69 runs. Los Angeles won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 13 wins to 6. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 7-12. Last year, the Rockies and Dodgers averaged 9.63 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.11 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado’s last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado’s last 5 games on the road
  • LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
  • LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Colorado

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Heading into Monday’s NL West matchup, the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. Look for Los Angeles to win by multiple runs as the Rockies figure to struggle against Tony Gonsolin. The Dodgers have rattled off 5 straight wins with the right-hander on the mound, with Gonsolin picking up the victory in each outing.

Free MLB Pick: Dodgers Runline