Runline Betting: Diamondbacks vs. Phillies

by | Last updated Jun 12, 2022 | mlb

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Sunday June 12th, 01:35 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
Money Line: Diamondbacks +170 / Phillies -210
Total Line: 9.5
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Arizona: Kyle Nelson (1-0, 2.04)
Philadelphia: Ranger Suarez (4-3, 4.42)

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Daulton Varsho C
Josh Rojas 3B
Jake McCarthy RF
Alek Thomas CF
Geraldo Perdomo SS
Ketel Marte 2B
Christian Walker 1B
Cooper Hummel LF
Jordan Luplow RF
Kyle Nelson P

Phillies Projected Lineup

Alec Bohm 3B
Bryson Stott 2B
J.T. Realmuto C
Nick Castellanos RF
Didi Gregorius SS
Mickey Moniak CF
Bryce Harper RF
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Ranger Suarez P


Arizona Diamondbacks: 28-33-0 SU / OU 25-35-1 / Run Line W/L 35-26-0
Philadelphia Phillies: 30-29-0 SU / OU 34-23-2 / Run Line W/L 31-28-0

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday, June 12th at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Philadelphia as the favorite (-210), with an OU line set at 9.5.

Recent Form

The Diamondbacks will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Phillies by the score of 4-0. On their way to giving up 4 runs, the Diamondbacks staff allowed 9 hits. On offense, the Diamondbacks finished with 0 runs on 6 hits. Arizona’s loss came as the underdog, getting 224.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Diamondbacks and Phillies stayed below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. With this result, Arizona’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 25-35-1.

In their last 5 games, the Diamondbacks are below .500, at 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -4. Compared to their overall average of 3.89 runs per game, the team’s offense is playing well. Over their last 5 contests, they have bumped this figure up to 5.0. Arizona’s overall series record is just 7-8-4.

In their last game, the Philadelphia Phillies picked up a 4-run win over the Diamondbacks by a score of 4-0. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Diamondbacks to 0 runs and 6 hits. With their 9 hits, the Phillies could only muster 4 runs. Philadelphia picked up the win while being favored at -250.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 38 games, winning at a rate of 55%. Combined, the Phillies and Diamondbacks’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. Even still, Philadelphia games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 34-23-2.

Over their last 5 games, the Phillies have not lost a game, going 5-0. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +22. Compared to their season average, the Phillies come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 6.4 runs per game. Philadelphia has a below .500 series record of just 7-11-1.

Pitching Matchup

The Diamondbacks will be sending left-hander Kyle Nelson to the mound in his first career start. Nelson has appeared in 19 games for the team, all of which have come out of the pen. So far, he has an ERA of 2.04.

Philadelphia will roll with Ranger Suarez (4-3) as their starter. To date, Suarez has an ERA of 4.42 while lasting an average of 5.0 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.272. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Suarez, as he is allowing just 0.98 per 9 innings. Suarez has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 19.0% and a per-game average of 4.27. Command has been a problem for Suarez, as he is giving up 3.6 walks per outing.

Arizona vs Philadelphia History

For the season, the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies will be playing their 3rd game of the season. Currently, Philadelphia is winning the season series 2-0. Through 2 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-1, with the average run total sitting at 9.29 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.0 runs. Last season, Arizona picked up the series win, 4 games to 3. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 3-3. Last year, the Diamondbacks and Phillies averaged 9.29 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.71 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona’s last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona’s last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
  • Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
  • Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s matchup between Philadelphia and Arizona, the Phillies are once again the heavy favorites on the moneyline. Look for Philadelphia to add to the Diamondbacks’ recent struggles, as I don’t see Kyle Nelson holding up in his spot start. Look for the Phillies to pick up the win and cover the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Phillies -1.5 Runline

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