San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Total Bet

by | Last updated Jun 27, 2023 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Date: Tuesday, June 27th, 7:05 ET
Location: PNC Park
TV: SNPT
Money Line: Padres -185/Pirates +155 (Odds cost less at BAS!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Padres on Tuesday, June 27th at PNC Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SD -185 -1.5 O 9 (-113)
PIT +155 +1.5 U 9 (-108)

Padres vs. Pirates Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Ha-Seong Kim 1 SS
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2 RF
Juan Soto 3 RF
Manny Machado 4 3B
Xander Bogaerts 5 SS
Gary Sánchez 6 C
Jake Cronenworth 7 2B
Nelson Cruz 8 DH
Trent Grisham 9 CF
Yu Darvish SP

 

Batting Order Position
Tucupita Marcano 1 2B
Andrew McCutchen 2 DH
Jack Suwinski 3 RF
Carlos Santana 4 1B
Connor Joe 5 LF
Ke’Bryan Hayes 6 3B
Josh Palacios 7 CF
Ji Hwan Bae 8 2B
Jason Delay 9 C
Rich Hill SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 37-41 SU / OU 28-47 / Runline 36-42
Pittsburgh Pirates: 35-42 SU / OU 37-38 / Runline 36-41

Heading into their game vs. the Pirates, the Padres have a record of 37-41 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL West, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 9-11-4. At home, they have gone 20-22 and 17-19 on the road.

 

  • The Padres have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
  • The Padres have been favored in 73.1% of their games and have runline records of 18-24 and 18-18 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 28-47.

Heading into their game vs. the Padres, the Pirates have a record of 35-42 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL Central, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 9-13-2. At home, they have gone 18-19 and 17-23 on the road.

 

  • The Pirates have covered the runline in 46.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.6
  • The Pirates have been favored in 24.7% of their games and have runline records of 15-22 and 21-19 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Pirates have an over/under record of just 37-38.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Yu Darvish 14 14 80 5-6 4.84 1.23 10

 

Yu Darvish has an overall record of 5-6, and will get the start for the Padres. With 14 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 4.84, while his K/9 figure is 1.1. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.85 and an OBP of .305.

The last time, Darvish took the mound, he lasted six innings as the Padres fell to the Giants (4-2). Individually, Darvish gave up seven hits leading to four earned runs.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Rich Hill 15 15 83 6-7 4.34 1.37 11

 

Entering with a record of 6-7, Rich Hill is making his 16th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 4.34 on a batting average allowed of .246. On the road, he is 3-3 with a 4.02 ERA and 3-4 at home on an ERA of 5.01. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .436 against him.

In Rich Hill’s last outing, the Pirates lost by a score of 8-3 to the Cubs. In the game, he allowed five runs on four hits over 5 2/3 innings.

Padres vs. Pirates Offense Outlook

The Padres have proven to be one of the best home run hitting teams this season, having hit 93 home runs (10th). In terms of overall run production, San Diego is averaging 4.3 runs per game on collective batting average of .232. At home, their slugging percentagee is .394 compared to .380 on the road.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Juan Soto .302 8 .563 .421
Fernando Tatis Jr. .248 6 .455 .340
Xander Bogaerts .227 3 .341 .299
Ha-Seong Kim .267 4 .419 .353
Manny Machado .239 4 .422 .301

 

San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ha-Seong Kim .263 5 6 3 .783
Juan Soto .507 8 5 1 .773
Manny Machado .400 6 3 1 .700
Fernando Tatis Jr. .240 5 4 0 .290
Gary Sánchez .187 4 3 1 .307

 

The Pirates have played 77 games so far and are ranked 23rd in the league with an average of 4.1 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they are 23rd (69), and their overall batting average stands at .237. This includes a BA of .228 on the road and .230 at home.

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bryan Reynolds .265 7 .470 .349
Ke’Bryan Hayes .238 2 .357 .280
Andrew McCutchen .268 5 .389 .351
Carlos Santana .201 5 .333 .274
Jack Suwinski .216 15 .525 .370

 

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Henry Davis .323 5 2 1 .663
Andrew McCutchen .438 5 2 0 .688
Carlos Santana .208 3 2 0 .271
Ke’Bryan Hayes .175 3 1 1 .425
Connor Joe .200 3 3 0 .200

 

Free MLB Pick

Yu Darvish has had a rough go of it in recent starts allowing four or more runs in the three straight and four of his last five. He does have good back numbers against the Pirates and could rebound here against a Pittsburgh team that has been struggling to put up runs. Rich Hill gets the call for the Pirates and while he isn’t having a strong season, he’s been solid in June going 2-2 with a 3.33 ERA. I find the total on the high side. Take the Under 9. 

Tip: Learn more about betting MLB totals by reading this article!

 

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