San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick

by | Last updated Jun 22, 2023 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
Date: Thursday, June 22nd, 3:45 ET
Location: Oracle Park
TV: NSPB
Money Line: Padres -126/Giants +106
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Francisco Giants and the Padres on Thursday, June 22nd at Oracle Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SD -126 -1.5 O 8.5 (-114)
SF +106 +1.5 U 8.5 (-108)

Padres vs. Giants Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1 RF
Juan Soto 2 RF
Manny Machado 3 3B
Xander Bogaerts 4 SS
Nelson Cruz 5 DH
Jake Cronenworth 6 2B
Ha-Seong Kim 7 SS
Trent Grisham 8 CF
Austin Nola 9 C
Blake Snell SP


Batting Order Position
Austin Slater 1 CF
Luis Matos 2 CF
Thairo Estrada 3 2B
J.D. Davis 4 3B
Michael Conforto 5 LF
LaMonte Wade Jr. 6 1B
Patrick Bailey 7 C
Casey Schmitt 8 3B
Mike Yastrzemski 9 CF
Alex Wood SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 35-39 SU / OU 25-46 / Runline 34-40
San Francisco Giants: 42-32 SU / OU 36-36 / Runline 39-35

Heading into their game vs. the Giants, the Padres have a record of 35-39 and have dropped three straight games. In the NL West, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 9-10-4. At home, they have gone 19-20 and 16-19 on the road.

  • The Padres have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.2.
  • The Padres have been favored in 71.6% of their games and have runline records of 17-22 and 17-18 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 25-46.

On a record of 42-32, the Giants are 2nd in the NL West. Currently, they are 2.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Padres, they will be seeking their 11th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 21-15 while going 21-17 at home. San Francisco’s overall series record is 11-11-1.

  • The Giants have covered the runline in eight straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.7.
  • The Giants have been favored in 48.6% of their games and have runline records of 19-19 and 20-16 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 74 games, the over has hit in half of the Giants’ games at 36-36.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Blake Snell 14 14 75 3-6 3.48 1.29 10


Blake Snell heads into the game with an overall record of 3-6 and an ERA of 3.48. In his seven appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 3.56 and record of 0-2. At home, he has put together a mark of 3-4 and ERA of 4.40. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.29, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .205. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .363.

A quality start and a win were added to Blake Snell’s record in his previous outing against the Rays. The Padres went on to win by a score of 2-0. Snell allowed zero runs and two hits during six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Alex Wood 9 8 35 2-1 4.11 1.46 3


Across nine appearances, Alex Wood has a slugging percentage allowed of .409 and enters with a WHIP of 1.46. His overall record is 2-1 on an ERA of 4.11. For the season, he has a total of 34 K’s and is averaging 1.0 strikeouts per nine innings. Wood’s record on the road is 2-0 and 0-1 at home. This includes an ERA of 3.49 (road) and 6.16 (home), respectively.

In Alex Wood’s last outing, he gave up zero runs on three hits to the Dodgers. Wood came away with the win, as the Giants came out on top by a score of 15-0.

Padres vs. Giants Offense Outlook

With 74 games under their belt, the Padres are ranked 19th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. San Diego has gone deep 86 times, ranking them 13th in home runs. Their overall batting average is .230, .214 on the road, and .233 at home.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Manny Machado .377 2 .541 .414
Ha-Seong Kim .250 3 .438 .337
Jake Cronenworth .230 2 .414 .311
Juan Soto .205 3 .349 .310
Xander Bogaerts .212 2 .338 .274


San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

PlayerID Player BattingAverage BA Hits H Runs R HomeRuns HR SluggingPercentage SLG
10006794 Juan Soto 0.375000 .375 6.000000 6 4.000000 4 2.000000 2 0.812500 .812
10007217 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.283250 .283 5.000000 5 3.000000 3 1.000000 1 0.483250 .483
10005672 Trent Grisham 0.416750 .417 5.000000 5 3.000000 3 0.000000 0 0.541750 .542
10007812 Ha-Seong Kim 0.312500 .312 5.000000 5 1.000000 1 0.000000 0 0.312500 .312
10000129 Manny Machado 0.433250 .433 5.000000 5 0.000000 0 0.000000 0 0.558250 .558


Through 74 games the Giants are 7th in the league at 5 runs per game. In terms of home runs, San Francisco is 9th having gone deep 94 times. Their batting average leading up to today’s game is .254, including .252 on the road and .241 at home.

San Francisco Giants Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Thairo Estrada .286 .339 .467 28 9 17
LaMonte Wade Jr. .280 .415 .463 27 9 2
J.D. Davis .286 .367 .478 41 10 1


San Francisco Giants Top Hitters: Last Five Games

PlayerID Player BattingAverage BA Hits H Runs R HomeRuns HR SluggingPercentage SLG
10003177 Mike Yastrzemski 0.441500 .442 7.000000 7 4.000000 4 2.000000 2 0.804000 .804
10000646 Joc Pederson 0.125000 .125 2.000000 2 4.000000 4 1.000000 1 0.312500 .312
10009459 Luis Matos 0.270750 .271 4.000000 4 4.000000 4 0.000000 0 0.333250 .333
10011186 David Villar 0.145750 .146 2.000000 2 2.000000 2 1.000000 1 0.458250 .458
10014272 Blake Sabol 0.333333 .333 4.000000 4 3.000000 3 0.000000 0 0.416667 .417


Free MLB Pick

Blake Snell has only given up TWO earned runs over his last 30 innings! Alex Wood doesn’t generally pitch well at Oracle Park. I’m betting on the hot hand in Blake Snell at -130.

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