St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Predictions

by | Last updated Jun 22, 2022 | mlb

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Wednesday, June 22nd, 08:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: Bally Sports Midwest
Money Line: Cardinals -115 / Brewers -105 (BetNow)
Total Line: 8.5


St. Louis: Adam Wainwright (5-5, 3.06)
Milwaukee: Eric Lauer (6-2, 3.57)

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Harrison Bader CF
Brendan Donovan LF
Juan Yepez 1B
Dylan Carlson RF
Nolan Arenado 3B
Andrew Knizner C
Albert Pujols 1B
Tommy Edman SS
Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Adam Wainwright P

Brewers Projected Lineup

Hunter Renfroe RF
Jace Peterson 3B
Andrew McCutchen LF
Omar Narváez C
Tyrone Taylor CF
Rowdy Tellez 1B
Luis Urías 2B
Christian Yelich LF
Willy Adames SS
Eric Lauer P


St. Louis Cardinals: 39-31-0 SU / OU 36-31-3 / Run Line W/L 39-31-0
Milwaukee Brewers: 39-31-0 SU / OU 33-34-3 / Run Line W/L 30-40-0

The Milwaukee Brewers host the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday, June 22nd at American Family Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places St. Louis as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

In St. Louis’s last game vs the Brewers, the Cardinals came away with a 6-2 win. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 2 runs on 4 hits. The Cardinals lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 11 hits, leading to 6 runs. In the matchup, St. Louis was favored at -125.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 42 of their games, winning at a rate of 69.0%. Combined, the Cardinals and Brewers fell short of the over-under betting line of 9.0 runs. St. Louis games have still surpassed the over-under line more than half of the time, at 36-31-3.

The Cardinals will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. Despite their below .500 record (last 5), in this stretch, the team still has a positive run differential at +8. In their last 5 contests, St. Louis is averaging 5.2 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.81. So far, St. Louis has won over half of their 22 series played, going 11-5-6.

Milwaukee will look to move on from a 4 runs loss to the Cardinals, falling by the score of 6-2. Milwaukee’s pitching staff gave up 11 hits, leading to 6 runs for the Cardinals. With their 4 hits, the Brewers could only plate 2 runners. Leading into Milwaukee’s loss they were the underdogs, getting 105.0 on the moneyline. In their 10 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 40.0%. Combined, the Brewers’ and Cardinals’ run total fell below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Now, Milwaukee had an over-under record of 33-34-3.

In their last 5 games, the Brewers have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +6 (last 5). Milwaukee has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.4 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.33. On the season, Milwaukee has won more than half of their series, going 11-8-4.


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Pitching Matchup

St. Louis will roll with Adam Wainwright (5-5) as their starter. Currently, Wainwright has an ERA of just 3.06 while pitching an average of 6.08 innings per outing. So far, opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, posting a BA of 0.249. This season, Wainwright has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.57 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Adam Wainwright has a strong strikeout percentage of 18.0%, including a per game average of 4.62. Command has been a problem for Wainwright, as he is giving up 2.72 walks per outing.

Milwaukee will roll with Eric Lauer (6-2) as their starter. So far, Lauer has put together an ERA of 3.57. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.67 innings. Lauer’s opponent batting average currently sits at 0.23. Opposing hitters are hitting home runs at an above average rate against Lauer. This year, he is allowing 1.85 HRs per 9 innings pitched. Per game, Eric Lauer is averaging 6.0, on a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.91 walks per outing.

St. Louis vs Milwaukee History

Today’s matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers will be their 11th meeting of the season. So far, the teams have each won 5 times. Through 10 games, the series’ over-under record is 4-6, with the average run total sitting at 8.21 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.7 runs. Last season, St. Louis picked up the series win, 11 games to 8. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 9-9. Last year, the Cardinals and Brewers averaged 8.21 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.68 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • St. Louis is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis’s last 11 games
  • Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s NL Central showdown between St. Louis and Milwaukee, the moneyline odds suggest this game could go either way. However, I recommend taking the Cardinals to pick up the win. All season long, the Brewers bats have fell silent against top-notch pitching. I like St. Louis on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: Cardinals Moneyline

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