San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves Pick 6/22/22

by | Jun 22, 2022 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Wednesday, June 22nd, 07:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: Bally Sports South
Money Line: Giants +100 / Braves -120 (Everygame)
Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

San Francisco: Carlos Rodón (6-4, 2.84)
Atlanta: Charlie Morton (4-3, 5.08)

Giants Projected Lineup

Tommy La Stella 1B
Brandon Crawford SS
Brandon Belt 1B
Luis Gonzalez P
Thairo Estrada 2B
Evan Longoria 3B
Curt Casali C
Joc Pederson LF
Mike Yastrzemski RF
Carlos Rodón P

Braves Projected Lineup

Adam Duvall LF
Orlando Arcia 2B
Marcell Ozuna LF
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
William Contreras C
Austin Riley 3B
Michael Harris II CF
Matt Olson 1B
Dansby Swanson SS
Charlie Morton P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

San Francisco Giants: 38-29-0 SU / OU 32-31-4 / Run Line W/L 34-33-0
Atlanta Braves: 39-30-0 SU / OU 37-29-3 / Run Line W/L 36-33-0

The Atlanta Braves host the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday, June 22nd at Truist Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, San Francisco picked up a 2-run win over the Braves (12-10). The Braves came up with 12 hits leading to 10 runs against San Francisco’s pitchers. The Giants benefited from an offense that generated 12 runs on 14 hits. San Francisco picked up the win, despite getting 155.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Giants and Braves combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 9.0 runs. San Francisco now has an over-under record of 32-31-4.

The Giants come into this game with a 3-2 record of their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +4. In their last 5 contests, San Francisco is averaging 5.0 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.91. So far, San Francisco has won over half of their 23 series played, going 12-7-4.

In Atlanta’s last outing, they fell by a score of 12-10 to the Giants. On their way to giving up 12 runs, the Braves staff allowed 14 hits. Offensively, they finished with 10 runs on 12 hits. Atlanta came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-182.0). For the season, the team has been favored in 59 games, winning at a rate of 63.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Braves and Giants combined to surpass the line of 9.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 37-29-3.

The Braves come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. Even though Atlanta has notched just 2 in their last 5 games, they still have a positive run differential in this stretch (+1). Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 4.2 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 4.77. Atlanta has a below .500 series record of just 8-8-6.

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Pitching Matchup

San Francisco will roll with Carlos Rodón (6-4) as their starter. Through 13 appearances, Rodón has an ERA of just 2.84 while averaging 5.62 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.21. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.49 home runs allowed per 9 innings. On the season, Carlos Rodón has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 31.0%. This includes a per game average of 7.0 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.33 walks per outing.

In today’s game, Atlanta turns to starter Charlie Morton. For the year, he has a record of 4-3. So far, Morton has put together an ERA of 5.08. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.16 innings. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.253. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Morton, averaging 1.21 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Charlie Morton has a strong K% of 25.0%, including a per game average of 5.77. Morton comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 3.48 free passes per outing.

San Francisco vs Atlanta History

For the season, the San Francisco Giants and Atlanta Braves will be playing their 3rd game of the season. Today’s game will be a rubber match for the two teams, as San Francisco and Atlanta each have 1 win. Through 2 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-1, with the average run total sitting at 6.83 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 1.5 runs. Last year, the team’s split the season series at 3-3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 2-3, with the average run total being 6.83 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.5 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
  • San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
  • Atlanta is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s National League matchup between San Francisco and Atlanta, the Braves have the slight edge on the moneyline. Even though Charlie Morton is coming off his best start of the year, he had previously given up 4 runs in 4 straight outings. I like the Giants on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline

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