Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox ML Pick

by | Jul 6, 2023 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Thursday, July 6th, 7:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN
Money Line: Rangers -135/Red Sox +115
Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Rangers on Thursday, July 6th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TEX -135 -1.5 O 10 (-112)
BOS +115 +1.5 U 10 (-109)

Rangers vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Marcus Semien 1 2B
Corey Seager 2 SS
Nathaniel Lowe 3 1B
Adolis García 4 RF
Josh Jung 5 3B
Jonah Heim 6 C
Ezequiel Duran 7 2B
Mitch Garver 8 C
Leody Taveras 9 CF
Nathan Eovaldi SP


Batting Order Position
Alex Verdugo 1 LF
Justin Turner 2 DH
Masataka Yoshida 3 LF
Rafael Devers 4 3B
Jarren Duran 5 CF
Triston Casas 6 1B
Christian Arroyo 7 2B
Connor Wong 8 C
David Hamilton 9 SS
Kutter Crawford SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Texas Rangers: 51-36 SU / OU 45-36 / Runline 52-35
Boston Red Sox: 44-43 SU / OU 46-40 / Runline 44-43

Even though the Rangers are in first place in the AL West, they have gone just 4-6 over their last ten games. Texas’ overall record currently sits at 51-36, including going 24-18 on the road and 27-18 at home. Their series record stands at 17-8-2.

  • The Rangers have covered the runline in 59.8% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.8
  • The Rangers have been favored in 65.5% of their games and have runline records of 27-18 and 25-17 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 56% of the Rangers’ 87 games at 45-36.

For the season, the Red Sox have put together a record of 44-43, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the AL East standings, they are 5th, trailing by 12 games. This year, they have gone 22-22 at home and 22-21 on the road with an overall series mark of 14-11-3.

  • The Red Sox have covered the runline in 50.6% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
  • The Red Sox have been favored in 41.4% of their games and have runline records of 20-24 and 24-19 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Red Sox’s 87 games at 46-40.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Nathan Eovaldi 17 17 112 10-3 2.64 .99 8


For the season, Nathan Eovaldi has an ERA of 2.64 across 17 outings. Heading into the game, his overall record stands at 10-3. Against the Red Sox, he will look to extend his streak of not giving up a home-run to three games. So far, opponents have a SLG% of .341 against him and a batting average of .206.

The last time Nathan Eovaldi took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 5-2 against the Astros. Eovaldi gave up zero runs and two hits across seven innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Kutter Crawford 16 8 57 3-4 3.92 1.12 10


The Red Sox will turn to starter Kutter Crawford who has an overall record of 3-4. After 16 appearances, his ERA is 3.92 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.32 and an OBP of .273.

The last time, Kutter Crawford took the mound, he gave up two runs on three hits to the Blue Jays. Crawford picked up the win, in the Red Sox’s 7-6 victory.

Rangers vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

This season, the Rangers have proven to be one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with 119 home runs in total (6th). Currently, they are averaging 5.9 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .274. The team’s slugging percentage is .488 at home and .409 on the road.

Texas Rangers Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Marcus Semien .276 7 .459 .344
Josh Jung .263 8 .469 .323
Nathaniel Lowe .262 2 .375 .325
Leody Taveras .299 3 .460 .352
Jonah Heim .283 3 .406 .318


Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Travis Jankowski .396 6 3 1 .583
Adolis García .220 5 4 2 .530
Corey Seager .450 9 5 0 .600
Leody Taveras .438 7 4 1 .688
Nathaniel Lowe .273 5 2 1 .590


This season, Boston is 8th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Currently, they have hit 90 home runs, placing them 19th. In terms of batting average, Boston is 5th in the league. On the road, their BA of .229 is 20th, compared to 2nd (.275) when playing at home.

Boston Red Sox Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Red Sox 88 4.8 (8th) 90 (19th) .261 (4th) .330 (5th) .330 (5th)


Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Justin Turner .437 9 6 2 .797
Jarren Duran .423 9 6 1 .903
Rafael Devers .370 7 2 1 .530
Masataka Yoshida .604 9 3 1 .854
Alex Verdugo .090 2 2 1 .210


Free MLB Pick

The Red Sox owned the Rangers last season, winning six of seven and are on a mini roll winner of four of their last five. The starter edge on paper belongs to Texas, but Kutter Crawford has been okay in his starts and getting the hot team at home getting plus money is where my money is going to land. Take Boston +115.

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