Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Best Bet

by | Last updated Sep 27, 2022 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Tuesday September 27th, 09:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: Bally Sports Southwest
Money Line: Rangers +150 / Mariners -200
Total Line: 7.5


Texas: Martín Pérez (12-6, 2.9) Seattle: Robbie Ray (12-10, 3.6)

Rangers Projected Lineup

Leody Taveras CF Mark Mathias 3B Josh Jung 3B Adolis Garcia RF Jonah Heim C Bubba Thompson LF Nate Lowe 1B Marcus Semien 2B Corey Seager SS Martín Pérez P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Abraham Toro 3B Curt Casali C Sam Haggerty LF Mitch Haniger RF Dylan Moore 2B Jarred Kelenic CF Carlos Santana 1B J.P. Crawford SS Ty France 3B Robbie Ray P


Texas Rangers: 65-87-0 SU / OU 75-68-9 / Run Line W/L 82-70-0 Seattle Mariners: 83-69-0 SU / OU 70-75-7 / Run Line W/L 80-72-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Texas Rangers on Tuesday September 27th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Rangers are hoping to get back on track after falling to Cleveland by a score of 10-4. In the loss, Texas’s pitchers gave up 10 runs on 10 hits. With their 6 hits, the Rangers could only muster 4 runs. The loss came as Texas was the betting underdog, getting 110.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.0 runs. This result is part of a larger trend, as Texas has had the over hit in more than half of their games (75-68-9).

Over the Rangers’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -4. In their last 5 contests, Texas is averaging 4.2 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.43. Texas’s overall series record is just 16-26-8.

The Mariners will look to bounce back from a tight 13-12 loss to the Royals. On their way to giving up 13 runs, the Mariners staff allowed 14 hits. Offensively, they finished with 12 runs on 12 hits. Seattle dropped the game despite being favored at -180.0. So far, the team has won 64.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Mariners and Royals combined to surpass the line of 7.5 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 70-75-7.

In their last 5 contests, the Mariners have just 2 wins, going 2-3. During this time, the team has a run differential of -1. Their recent record comes while the offense has picked up its play, averaging 5.8 runs over their last 5 game, compared to their overall figure of 4.23. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 24-20-4.

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Pitching Matchup

Texas will roll with Martín Pérez (12-6) as their starter. Through 30 appearances, Pérez has an ERA of just 2.9 while averaging 6.1 innings per appearance. Across his previous appearances, the left-hander has a batting average allowed of 0.24. So far, Pérez has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.54 home runs per 9 innings. On the season, Martín Pérez has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. This includes a per-game average of 5.47 K’s per game. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Pérez is averaging 2.99 free passes per outing.

In today’s game, Seattle turns to starter Robbie Ray. For the year, he has a record of 12-10. To date, Ray has an ERA of 3.6, while lasting an average of 5.91 innings per appearance. Ray will take the mound a BA allowed of 0.226. Home runs have been a concern for Ray as he is allowing 1.42 per 9 innings. Per game, Robbie Ray is averaging 6.7, on a strikeout percentage of 28%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.89 walks per outing.

Texas vs Seattle History

For the season, the Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners will be playing their 17th game of the season. Seattle holds the edge in the series at 12-4. Through 16 games, the series over-under record is 8-7, with the average run total sitting at 8.11 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.19 runs. Dating back to last season, Seattle picked up 13 wins compared to 6, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 9-10, with the average run total being 8.11 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.21 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas’s last 10 games on the road
  • Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Texas
  • Seattle is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Texas

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Leading into Tuesday’s matchup between Texas and Seattle, the Mariners are the strong favorite on the moneyline. Given that Robbie Ray has been throwing the ball well and the Rangers are prone to struggling at the plate look for the Mariners to not only win but cover the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Mariners -1.5 Runline