Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Total Prediction

by | Last updated Jun 11, 2023 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Sunday, June 11th, 1:40 ET
Location: Tropicana Field
TV: BSSUN
Money Line: Rangers +162/Rays -195
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Rangers on Sunday, June 11th at Tropicana Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TEX +162 +1.5 O 8 (-112)
TB -195 -1.5 U 8 (-108)

Rangers vs. Rays Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Marcus Semien 1 2B
Corey Seager 2 SS
Nathaniel Lowe 3 1B
Adolis García 4 RF
Josh Jung 5 3B
Jonah Heim 6 C
Robbie Grossman 7 LF
Ezequiel Duran 8 2B
Leody Taveras 9 CF
Martín Pérez SP


Batting Order Position
Yandy Díaz 1 1B
Wander Franco 2 SS
Harold Ramírez 3 DH
Randy Arozarena 4 LF
Isaac Paredes 5 3B
Taylor Walls 6 SS
Manuel Margot 7 RF
Christian Bethancourt 8 C
Jose Siri 9 CF
Shane McClanahan SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Texas Rangers: 41-22 SU / OU 36-25 / Runline 41-22
Tampa Bay Rays: 47-20 SU / OU 37-27 / Runline 38-29

The Rangers head into today’s game in first place in the AL West on a record of 41-22. Over their last five games, they have put together an above .500 record of 3-2. At home, Texas is 21-9 and 20-13 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 15-4-1.

  • The Rangers have covered the runline in 65.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 2.4
  • The Rangers have been favored in 60.3% of their games and have runline records of 20-10 and 21-12 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 59% of the Rangers’ 63 games at 36-25.

The Rays head into today’s game in first place in the AL East on a record of 47-20. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 8-2. At home, Tampa Bay is 30-7 and 17-13 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 14-5-1.

  • The Rays have covered the runline in 56.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 2.0
  • The Rays have been favored in 88.1% of their games and have runline records of 22-15 and 16-14 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 58% of the Rays’ 67 games at 37-27.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Martín Pérez 12 12 68 6-1 3.97 1.44 10


Today will be Martín Pérez’s 13th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 6-1. His current ERA stands at 3.97 and OBP allowed of .336. So far, he struckout 49 batters and has a WHIP of 1.44. On the road, his ERA is 6.31 compared to 1.41 at home.

In his previous start, Martín Pérez gave the team a quality start, allowing one run on three hits across seven innings. Despite this, he did not factor into the decision in the Rangers’ 4-3 win over the Cardinals.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Shane McClanahan 13 13 75 9-1 2.02 1.15 8


The Rays will turn to starter Shane McClanahan who has an overall record of 9-1. Through 13 appearances his ERA stands at 2.02 with a K/9 figure of 1.2. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.50 to go along with an OBP of .284.

In his last outing, Shane McClanahan finished with a quality start and picked up the win in a 4-1 victory over the Red Sox. McClanahan gave up one run and five hits across six innings.

Rangers vs. Rays Offense Outlook

This season, the Rangers have proven to be one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with 83 home runs in total (7th). Currently, they are averaging 6.3 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .275. The team’s slugging percentage is .487 at home and .408 on the road.

Texas Rangers Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Marcus Semien .297 .363 .487 50 9 7
Adolis García .268 .330 .506 54 15 5
Nathaniel Lowe .272 .354 .432 37 7 0


Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Corey Seager .347 8 2 1 .573
Leody Taveras .250 3 4 2 .850
Adolis García .300 6 1 1 .500
Ezequiel Duran .433 6 3 0 .567
Nathaniel Lowe .130 3 1 1 .320


This season, the Rays are one of the top power hitting lineups in the league, with 111 home runs (1st). This has led to an average of 5.7 runs per game and a collective batting average of .262. At home, their slugging percentage is .478, compared to .449 on the road.

Tampa Bay Rays Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Rays 67 5.7 (2nd) 111 (1st) .262 (4th) .338 (2nd) .338 (2nd)


Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Randy Arozarena .250 4 6 1 .400
Isaac Paredes .250 4 3 3 .900
Luke Raley .250 4 4 1 .767
Harold Ramírez .194 2 4 1 .611
Francisco Mejía .208 3 1 1 .458


Free MLB Pick

Certainly, both starting pitchers have been performing exceptionally well this season, especially Shane McClanahan, who boasts an impressive 9-1 win-loss record and a 2.02 earned run average (ERA). However, it’s important to note that both teams have remarkably high statistics when facing left-handed pitching, which happens to be the case with the two starters in today’s game. Considering this, the total runs line may be set a bit low.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a projected average of scoring 7.74 runs per nine innings against left-handed pitching, closely followed by the Texas Rangers at 7.30 runs per nine innings. The over/under line for this game is set at eight runs. It’s uncommon to see a total runs line set just above a team’s average runs scored against left-handed pitching per nine innings.

Taking these factors into account, it appears favorable to bet on the total number of runs being over eight, listed at -115 odds.

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