Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds & Runline Bet

by | Jul 31, 2022 | mlb

Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Sunday July 31st, 12:05 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: Peacock
Money Line: Tigers +225 / Blue Jays -280
Total Line: 9.0
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STARTING PITCHING

Detroit: Garrett Hill (1-2, 5.57)
Toronto: José Berríos (7-4, 5.2)

Tigers Projected Lineup

Harold Castro 1B
Willi Castro RF
Eric Haase C
Jonathan Schoop 2B
Robbie Grossman LF
Akil Baddoo LF
Javier Báez SS
Miguel Cabrera 1B
Riley Greene CF
Garrett Hill P

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Santiago Espinal SS
Teoscar Hernández RF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Danny Jansen C
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Alejandro Kirk C
George Springer CF
Bo Bichette SS
José Berríos P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Detroit Tigers: 41-61-0 SU / OU 39-58-5 / Run Line W/L 47-55-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 56-45-0 SU / OU 53-47-1 / Run Line W/L 45-56-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Detroit Tigers on Sunday, July 31st at Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 12:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-280), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

In Detroit’s last game, they fell to the Blue Jays by a score of 5-3. On their way to giving up 5 runs, the Tigers staff allowed 4 hits. On offense, the Tigers finished with 3 runs on 10 hits. Detroit’s loss came as the underdog, getting 235.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 9.0 runs. With this result, Detroit’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 39-58-5.

Over the Tigers’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -3. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 3.6 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 3.24. Detroit’s overall series record is just 8-19-6.

In their last game, Toronto took down the Tigers by a score of 5-3. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Tigers to 3 runs and 10 hits. In the victory, the Blue Jays came up with 4 hits and 5 runs. In the game, Toronto was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -295.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 82 games, winning at a rate of 59.0%. Combined, the Blue Jays and Tiger’s run total fell below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Even still, Toronto games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 53-47-1.

In their last 5 games, the Blue Jays have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +4. Toronto has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.6 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.86. On the season, Toronto has won more than half of their series, going 17-11-4.

Pitching Matchup

Detroit will roll with Garrett Hill (1-2) as their starter. So far, Hill has put together an ERA of 5.57. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.25 innings. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.225 against Hill. Home runs have been a concern for Hill as he is allowing 1.29 per 9 innings. Up to this point, Hill has a strikeout percentage of just 11.0% and a per game average of 2.5. Throughout the season, Hill has avoided walking batters, allowing just 3.86 per contest.

In today’s game, Toronto turns to starter José Berríos. For the year, he has a record of 7-4. To date, Berríos has an ERA of 5.2 while lasting an average of 5.35 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.28. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Berríos, averaging 1.76 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, José Berríos has a strong K% of 22.0%, including a per game average of 5.0. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.18 walks per outing.

Detroit vs Toronto History

For the season, the Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays will be playing their 7th game of the season. Toronto holds the edge in the series at 4-2. Through 6 games, the series over-under record is 1-5, with the average run total sitting at 4.5 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.83 runs. Last year, the team’s split the season series at 3-3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 0-6, with the average run total being 4.5 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 1.83 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last 5 games when playing Toronto
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 5 games when playing Detroit

Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s early game between Detroit and Toronto, the Blue Jays are the favorite to come away with a win. With a matchup against Garrett Hill, there is no reason to think that Toronto won’t coast to a victory. Look for the Blue Jays’ offense to get off to a hot start and cover the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Blue Jays -1.5 Runline

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